cbb·system

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2021

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.01 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.92 possessions per game 5.06

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 22:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Middle Tennessee AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans 0.73 to 1.40 over 102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021178 0.680

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMiddle Tennessee auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-21 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Tennessee N 62–87 ncaa_tournament
2021-03-13 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Rice N 68–65 conf_tournament
2021-03-13 2021 UTEP @ Middle Tennessee N 58–74 conf_tournament
2021-03-11 2021 Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee N 71–77 conf_tournament
2021-03-06 2021 Marshall @ Middle Tennessee 54–61 regular
2021-03-05 2021 Marshall @ Middle Tennessee 72–49 regular
2021-02-27 2021 Old Dominion @ Middle Tennessee 70–74 regular
2021-02-27 2021 Old Dominion @ Middle Tennessee 74–57 regular
2021-02-21 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech canceled regular
2021-02-20 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech canceled regular
2021-02-20 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech postponed regular
2021-02-13 2021 Marshall @ Middle Tennessee postponed regular
2021-02-12 2021 Marshall @ Middle Tennessee postponed regular
2021-02-06 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Charlotte 72–82 regular
2021-02-05 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Charlotte 77–70 regular
2021-01-30 2021 UAB @ Middle Tennessee 68–95 regular
2021-01-29 2021 Middle Tennessee @ UAB 81–78 regular
2021-01-24 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky 77–60 regular
2021-01-23 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky 75–65 regular
2021-01-16 2021 Southern Miss @ Middle Tennessee 69–61 regular
2021-01-16 2021 Southern Miss @ Middle Tennessee 58–78 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Florida International 99–89 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Middle Tennessee @ Florida International 69–65 regular
2021-01-02 2021 Florida Atlantic @ Middle Tennessee 64–66 regular
2021-01-02 2021 Florida Atlantic @ Middle Tennessee 65–84 regular
2020-12-20 2021 Lipscomb @ Middle Tennessee 64–84 regular
2020-12-18 2021 Troy @ Middle Tennessee 76–92 regular
2020-12-13 2021 Middle Tennessee @ TCU 77–83 regular
2020-12-10 2021 Tulane @ Middle Tennessee 81–78 regular
2020-12-06 2021 Belmont @ Middle Tennessee 70–64 regular
2020-11-29 2021 Vanderbilt @ Middle Tennessee canceled regular