cbb·system

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.87 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.13 points per possession 0.19
PACE 72.88 possessions per game 4.38

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Middle Tennessee AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 58.51 to 161.13 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020219 0.700

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMiddle Tennessee auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-12 2020 Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee N canceled conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Middle Tennessee @ Charlotte 79–74 regular
2020-03-06 2020 North Texas @ Middle Tennessee 63–74 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee 103–108 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Middle Tennessee @ UTEP 92–80 regular
2020-02-21 2020 UAB @ Middle Tennessee 61–59 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Middle Tennessee @ UAB 62–52 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Middle Tennessee @ Rice 60–77 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Middle Tennessee @ North Texas 80–60 regular
2020-02-01 2020 UTSA @ Middle Tennessee 48–69 regular
2020-01-31 2020 UTEP @ Middle Tennessee 60–76 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Middle Tennessee @ Southern Miss 77–69 regular
2020-01-24 2020 Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech 60–78 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Florida International @ Middle Tennessee 56–72 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Florida Atlantic @ Middle Tennessee 66–81 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky 63–71 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Middle Tennessee @ Marshall 75–55 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee 59–83 regular
2020-01-03 2020 Old Dominion @ Middle Tennessee 67–56 regular
2019-12-29 2020 TCU @ Middle Tennessee 70–82 regular
2019-12-19 2020 VCU @ Middle Tennessee 63–86 regular
2019-12-14 2020 Middle Tennessee @ Belmont 57–68 regular
2019-12-04 2020 Lipscomb @ Middle Tennessee 49–70 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Arizona State @ Middle Tennessee 61–60 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Gonzaga @ Middle Tennessee N 62–50 regular
2019-11-29 2020 Middle Tennessee @ Auburn N 73–50 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Furman @ Middle Tennessee 62–78 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Tennessee Tech @ Middle Tennessee 58–64 regular
2019-11-15 2020 Middle Tennessee @ Tulane 64–62 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee 67–52 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Middle Tennessee @ East Carolina 68–66 regular