cbb·system

Belmont Bruins

mens OVC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.05 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.42 possessions per game 4.36

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-09 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Belmont AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans 0.77 to 1.34 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20242013 0.606

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdBelmont auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-08 2024 Belmont @ Northern Iowa N 62–67 conf_tournament
2024-03-07 2024 Valparaiso @ Belmont N 61–86 conf_tournament
2024-03-03 2024 Evansville @ Belmont 66–83 regular
2024-02-29 2024 Belmont @ Murray State 83–61 regular
2024-02-24 2024 Missouri State @ Belmont 78–93 regular
2024-02-22 2024 Belmont @ Drake 69–84 regular
2024-02-18 2024 Belmont @ UIC 75–60 regular
2024-02-15 2024 Southern Illinois @ Belmont 68–82 regular
2024-02-10 2024 Belmont @ Valparaiso 96–78 regular
2024-02-08 2024 Murray State @ Belmont 64–69 regular
2024-02-03 2024 Belmont @ Missouri State 80–87 regular
2024-02-01 2024 Indiana State @ Belmont 78–72 regular
2024-01-27 2024 UIC @ Belmont 65–74 regular
2024-01-24 2024 Belmont @ Illinois State 67–77 regular
2024-01-20 2024 Belmont @ Bradley 72–95 regular
2024-01-18 2024 Northern Iowa @ Belmont 83–72 regular
2024-01-13 2024 Belmont @ Indiana State 64–94 regular
2024-01-11 2024 Illinois State @ Belmont 60–67 regular
2024-01-07 2024 Drake @ Belmont 65–87 regular
2024-01-03 2024 Belmont @ Southern Illinois 63–73 regular
2023-12-21 2024 Arkansas State @ Belmont 70–74 regular
2023-12-16 2024 Belmont @ Samford 93–99 regular
2023-12-10 2024 Belmont @ Middle Tennessee 75–65 regular
2023-12-07 2024 Lipscomb @ Belmont 71–72 regular
2023-12-02 2024 Valparaiso @ Belmont 68–77 regular
2023-11-30 2024 Belmont @ Northern Iowa 90–70 regular
2023-11-26 2024 Lafayette @ Belmont N 69–79 regular
2023-11-25 2024 Belmont @ Pennsylvania 84–79 regular
2023-11-24 2024 Monmouth @ Belmont N 93–84 regular
2023-11-18 2024 Belmont @ Arizona 68–100 regular
2023-11-15 2024 Berry @ Belmont 59–93 non_d1
2023-11-11 2024 Belmont @ Furman 76–99 regular
2023-11-07 2024 Georgia State @ Belmont 87–89 regular