cbb·system

Belmont Bruins

mens OVC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.14 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.04 points per possession 0.18
PACE 69.89 possessions per game 4.25

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Belmont AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.83 to 1.39 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20252211 0.667

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdBelmont auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-08 2025 Belmont @ Drake N 50–57 conf_tournament
2025-03-07 2025 Illinois State @ Belmont N 63–76 conf_tournament
2025-03-02 2025 Murray State @ Belmont 60–70 regular
2025-02-27 2025 Belmont @ Missouri State 74–65 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Indiana State @ Belmont 75–77 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Northern Iowa @ Belmont 82–75 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Belmont @ Southern Illinois 73–68 regular
2025-02-13 2025 Belmont @ Valparaiso 86–101 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Missouri State @ Belmont 68–85 regular
2025-02-06 2025 Belmont @ Bradley 80–77 regular
2025-02-02 2025 Evansville @ Belmont 80–75 regular
2025-01-30 2025 Belmont @ Illinois State 78–81 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Belmont @ Murray State 95–77 regular
2025-01-22 2025 Bradley @ Belmont 89–77 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Belmont @ Evansville 85–82 regular
2025-01-15 2025 Valparaiso @ Belmont 64–71 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Belmont @ Indiana State 84–79 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Southern Illinois @ Belmont 86–90 regular
2025-01-04 2025 UIC @ Belmont 87–92 regular
2025-01-02 2025 Belmont @ Northern Iowa 70–76 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Belmont @ Drake 46–65 regular
2024-12-20 2025 UC Irvine @ Belmont 92–84 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Belmont @ Richmond 93–86 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Middle Tennessee @ Belmont 79–82 regular
2024-12-05 2025 Illinois State @ Belmont 97–99 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Gardner-Webb @ Belmont 74–83 regular
2024-11-27 2025 Tulane @ Belmont N 66–89 regular
2024-11-27 2025 Loyola Marymount @ Belmont N 77–63 regular
2024-11-20 2025 Oral Roberts @ Belmont 80–90 regular
2024-11-16 2025 Belmont @ Air Force 79–71 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Belmont @ Lipscomb 80–79 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Furman @ Belmont 76–74 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Maryville College (TN) @ Belmont 70–93 non_d1