cbb·system

Belmont Bruins

mens OVC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.23 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.09 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.13 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.37 possessions per game 4.45

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Belmont AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.71 to 1.36 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
2026266 0.812

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdBelmont auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-06 2026 Drake @ Belmont N 100–79 conf_tournament
2026-03-01 2026 Belmont @ Illinois State 74–81 regular
2026-02-26 2026 Evansville @ Belmont 64–98 regular
2026-02-22 2026 Indiana State @ Belmont 70–87 regular
2026-02-15 2026 Belmont @ Murray State 87–70 regular
2026-02-13 2026 Northern Iowa @ Belmont 86–91 regular
2026-02-10 2026 Belmont @ Bradley 84–95 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Belmont @ UIC 68–62 regular
2026-02-04 2026 Drake @ Belmont 90–103 regular
2026-02-01 2026 Murray State @ Belmont 86–103 regular
2026-01-29 2026 Belmont @ Valparaiso 78–77 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Illinois State @ Belmont 69–80 regular
2026-01-18 2026 Belmont @ Southern Illinois 73–68 regular
2026-01-14 2026 Valparaiso @ Belmont 74–78 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Belmont @ Drake 78–76 regular
2026-01-08 2026 Belmont @ Northern Iowa 78–65 regular
2026-01-04 2026 Southern Illinois @ Belmont 68–67 regular
2026-01-02 2026 Bradley @ Belmont 78–88 regular
2025-12-30 2026 Belmont @ Indiana State 80–81 regular
2025-12-20 2026 Belmont @ UC Irvine 84–58 regular
2025-12-17 2026 Belmont @ Evansville 83–78 regular
2025-12-13 2026 UIC @ Belmont 84–87 regular
2025-12-07 2026 Belmont @ Middle Tennessee 83–62 regular
2025-12-04 2026 Richmond @ Belmont 84–76 regular
2025-11-30 2026 Belmont @ Charleston 96–73 regular
2025-11-26 2026 Belmont @ Toledo N 87–72 regular
2025-11-24 2026 St. Francis (PA) @ Belmont N 57–94 regular
2025-11-22 2026 Fisk @ Belmont 49–96 non_d1
2025-11-20 2026 Lipscomb @ Belmont 68–75 regular
2025-11-16 2026 Belmont @ Oral Roberts 83–60 regular
2025-11-09 2026 Tennessee State @ Belmont 79–87 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Air Force @ Belmont 63–79 regular