cbb·system

Auburn Tigers

mens SEC canonical name from espn_mbb #9 Round of 32 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.14 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.19 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.32 possessions per game 4.32

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Auburn AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.74 to 1.40 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232113 0.618

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdAuburn auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-18 2023 Auburn @ Houston N 64–81 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-16 2023 Auburn @ Iowa N 83–75 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 Arkansas @ Auburn N 76–73 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Tennessee @ Auburn 70–79 regular
2023-03-02 2023 Auburn @ Alabama 85–90 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Auburn @ Kentucky 54–86 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Ole Miss @ Auburn 74–78 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Auburn @ Vanderbilt 65–67 regular
2023-02-15 2023 Missouri @ Auburn 56–89 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Alabama @ Auburn 77–69 regular
2023-02-08 2023 Auburn @ Texas A&M 78–83 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Auburn @ Tennessee 43–46 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Georgia @ Auburn 73–94 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Auburn @ West Virginia 77–80 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Texas A&M @ Auburn 79–63 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Auburn @ South Carolina 81–66 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Auburn @ LSU 67–49 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Mississippi State @ Auburn 63–69 regular
2023-01-11 2023 Auburn @ Ole Miss 82–73 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Arkansas @ Auburn 59–72 regular
2023-01-04 2023 Auburn @ Georgia 64–76 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Florida @ Auburn 58–61 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Auburn @ Washington 84–61 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Auburn @ USC 71–74 regular
2022-12-15 2023 Georgia State @ Auburn 64–72 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Auburn @ Memphis N 73–82 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Colgate @ Auburn 66–93 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Saint Louis @ Auburn 60–65 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Auburn @ Northwestern N 43–42 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Bradley @ Auburn N 64–85 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Texas Southern @ Auburn 56–72 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Winthrop @ Auburn 65–89 regular
2022-11-12 2023 South Florida @ Auburn 59–67 regular
2022-11-08 2023 George Mason @ Auburn 52–70 regular