cbb·system

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

mens Big South canonical name from espn_mbb #15 Round of 64 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.02 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.34 possessions per game 4.27

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UNC Asheville AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.73 to 1.32 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023278 0.771

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdUNC Asheville auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-17 2023 UNC Asheville @ UCLA N 53–86 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Campbell @ UNC Asheville N 73–77 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Asheville N 62–66 conf_tournament
2023-03-03 2023 Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville N 66–75 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 UNC Asheville @ Longwood 76–66 regular
2023-02-22 2023 Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville 62–80 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Gardner-Webb @ UNC Asheville 63–75 regular
2023-02-17 2023 UNC Asheville @ Radford 63–54 regular
2023-02-11 2023 UNC Asheville @ Presbyterian 76–72 regular
2023-02-08 2023 Winthrop @ UNC Asheville 79–86 regular
2023-02-04 2023 UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate 70–76 regular
2023-02-03 2023 High Point @ UNC Asheville 63–89 regular
2023-01-28 2023 UNC Asheville @ Campbell 78–65 regular
2023-01-25 2023 Presbyterian @ UNC Asheville 80–88 regular
2023-01-21 2023 South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Asheville 58–64 regular
2023-01-19 2023 UNC Asheville @ Charleston Southern 73–63 regular
2023-01-14 2023 UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb 72–67 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Longwood @ UNC Asheville 46–54 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Campbell @ UNC Asheville 55–58 regular
2023-01-05 2023 UNC Asheville @ High Point 76–72 regular
2022-12-31 2023 UNC Asheville @ Winthrop 60–62 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Radford @ UNC Asheville 58–62 regular
2022-12-22 2023 UNC Asheville @ Arkansas 51–85 regular
2022-12-17 2023 UNC Asheville @ East Tennessee State 74–73 regular
2022-12-14 2023 UNC Asheville @ South Carolina State 94–84 regular
2022-12-10 2023 UNC Asheville @ Dayton 56–79 regular
2022-12-07 2023 Warren Wilson @ UNC Asheville 70–122 non_d1
2022-12-03 2023 UT Martin @ UNC Asheville 83–90 regular
2022-11-30 2023 UNC Asheville @ North Carolina Central 66–79 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Western Carolina @ UNC Asheville 61–73 regular
2022-11-20 2023 UNC Asheville @ Georgia State 68–74 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Eastern Kentucky @ UNC Asheville N 77–75 regular
2022-11-19 2023 UNC Asheville @ East Texas A&M N 72–64 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Brevard @ UNC Asheville 46–94 non_d1
2022-11-08 2023 UNC Asheville @ UCF 98–95 regular