cbb·system

Sacramento State Hornets

mens Big Sky canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.10 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.05 points per possession 0.18
PACE 62.93 possessions per game 4.54

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Sacramento State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.75 to 1.32 over 68 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231418 0.438

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdSacramento State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-07 2023 Sacramento State @ Weber State N 64–70 conf_tournament
2023-02-28 2023 Sacramento State @ Portland State 76–74 regular
2023-02-26 2023 Sacramento State @ Montana 72–74 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Sacramento State @ Montana State 56–60 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Idaho State @ Sacramento State 65–70 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Weber State @ Sacramento State 52–49 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado 54–70 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona 55–77 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Idaho @ Sacramento State 82–76 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Eastern Washington @ Sacramento State 82–63 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Montana State @ Sacramento State 72–65 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Montana @ Sacramento State 48–67 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Sacramento State @ Weber State 48–50 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Sacramento State @ Idaho State 61–65 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State 56–59 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State 64–72 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Sacramento State @ Eastern Washington 75–78 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Sacramento State @ Idaho 85–83 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Portland State @ Sacramento State 63–74 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Stanislaus State @ Sacramento State 51–72 non_d1
2022-12-22 2023 Sacramento State @ Cal State Fullerton 49–59 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Sacramento State @ Fresno State 59–53 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Long Beach State @ Sacramento State 74–76 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Denver @ Sacramento State 85–87 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Sacramento State @ Santa Clara 65–72 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Southern Utah @ Sacramento State N 91–87 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Sacramento State @ Hawai'i N 61–74 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Sacramento State @ UC Davis N 71–82 regular
2022-11-18 2023 UC Merced @ Sacramento State 43–58 non_d1
2022-11-15 2023 Sacramento State @ Denver 73–69 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Sacramento State @ UC San Diego 65–55 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Sacramento State @ UCLA 50–76 regular