cbb·system

South Alabama Jaguars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.01 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.86 possessions per game 4.87

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

South Alabama AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.59 to 1.20 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20182113 0.618

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSouth Alabama auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-24 2018 South Alabama @ Yale 74–76 other_postseason
2018-03-20 2018 Furman @ South Alabama 53–54 other_postseason
2018-03-16 2018 Stetson @ South Alabama 33–49 other_postseason
2018-03-08 2018 South Alabama @ Troy N 79–82 conf_tournament
2018-03-06 2018 UL Monroe @ South Alabama N 54–80 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 South Alabama @ Georgia State 70–69 regular
2018-03-01 2018 South Alabama @ Georgia Southern 81–74 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Louisiana @ South Alabama 59–56 regular
2018-02-22 2018 UL Monroe @ South Alabama 55–72 regular
2018-02-17 2018 South Alabama @ Coastal Carolina 56–71 regular
2018-02-15 2018 South Alabama @ App State 56–57 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Arkansas State @ South Alabama 75–60 regular
2018-02-08 2018 Little Rock @ South Alabama 47–35 regular
2018-02-03 2018 South Alabama @ Troy 71–82 regular
2018-01-27 2018 South Alabama @ UL Monroe 67–60 regular
2018-01-25 2018 South Alabama @ Louisiana 72–57 regular
2018-01-20 2018 App State @ South Alabama 52–54 regular
2018-01-18 2018 Coastal Carolina @ South Alabama 62–68 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Troy @ South Alabama 68–79 regular
2018-01-06 2018 South Alabama @ UT Arlington 76–63 regular
2018-01-04 2018 South Alabama @ Texas State 63–78 regular
2017-12-31 2018 Georgia Southern @ South Alabama 52–79 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Georgia State @ South Alabama 52–88 regular
2017-12-21 2018 UAB @ South Alabama 78–66 regular
2017-12-16 2018 Central Arkansas @ South Alabama 43–64 regular
2017-12-12 2018 Southern @ South Alabama 65–69 regular
2017-12-09 2018 South Alabama @ Ole Miss 59–66 regular
2017-12-03 2018 Jacksonville @ South Alabama 60–58 regular
2017-12-01 2018 South Alabama @ Southern Miss 78–57 regular
2017-11-29 2018 South Alabama @ Alabama State 59–47 regular
2017-11-25 2018 LSU New Orleans @ South Alabama 45–67 regular
2017-11-19 2018 South Alabama @ North Carolina 85–84 regular
2017-11-18 2018 South Alabama @ NC State 50–71 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Georgia Southwestern @ South Alabama 42–73 non_d1