cbb·system

South Alabama Jaguars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.86 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.90 points per possession 0.14
ME -0.04 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.63 possessions per game 4.73

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

South Alabama AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.18 to 1.65 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192511 0.694

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSouth Alabama auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-24 2019 South Alabama @ Wyoming 71–78 other_postseason
2019-03-23 2019 South Alabama @ Lamar 73–71 other_postseason
2019-03-16 2019 South Alabama @ Little Rock N 56–57 conf_tournament
2019-03-15 2019 South Alabama @ UT Arlington N 57–50 conf_tournament
2019-03-14 2019 South Alabama @ Troy N 87–74 conf_tournament
2019-03-13 2019 South Alabama @ Texas State N 68–67 conf_tournament
2019-03-12 2019 Louisiana @ South Alabama 61–73 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 App State @ South Alabama 59–50 regular
2019-03-08 2019 Coastal Carolina @ South Alabama 50–67 regular
2019-03-02 2019 South Alabama @ Texas State 45–77 regular
2019-03-01 2019 South Alabama @ UT Arlington 51–72 regular
2019-02-23 2019 South Alabama @ Troy 58–66 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Georgia State @ South Alabama 59–62 regular
2019-02-15 2019 Georgia Southern @ South Alabama 60–73 regular
2019-02-09 2019 South Alabama @ Little Rock 44–47 regular
2019-02-08 2019 South Alabama @ Arkansas State 58–69 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Troy @ South Alabama 77–80 regular
2019-01-26 2019 UL Monroe @ South Alabama 49–77 regular
2019-01-24 2019 Louisiana @ South Alabama 60–83 regular
2019-01-19 2019 South Alabama @ Georgia Southern 69–53 regular
2019-01-17 2019 South Alabama @ Georgia State 68–59 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Little Rock @ South Alabama 65–42 regular
2019-01-11 2019 Arkansas State @ South Alabama 77–64 regular
2019-01-05 2019 South Alabama @ Coastal Carolina 88–78 regular
2019-01-03 2019 South Alabama @ App State 63–71 regular
2018-12-21 2019 South Alabama @ Florida International 84–77 regular
2018-12-20 2019 South Alabama @ New Mexico State N 68–67 regular
2018-12-18 2019 Faulkner @ South Alabama 40–97 non_d1
2018-12-09 2019 Alabama State @ South Alabama 65–77 regular
2018-12-05 2019 South Alabama @ Alabama 72–67 regular
2018-11-30 2019 South Alabama @ Tennessee State 78–56 regular
2018-11-27 2019 East Tennessee State @ South Alabama 74–81 regular
2018-11-19 2019 South Alabama @ Southern 53–49 regular
2018-11-17 2019 South Alabama @ Central Arkansas 58–50 regular
2018-11-15 2019 Southern Miss @ South Alabama 68–77 regular
2018-11-08 2019 Spring Hill @ South Alabama 57–75 non_d1