cbb·system

South Alabama Jaguars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.05 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.92 possessions per game 4.45

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

South Alabama AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans -0.46 to 0.34 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201616 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSouth Alabama auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-15 2020 South Alabama @ Coastal Carolina N canceled conf_tournament
2020-03-12 2020 South Alabama @ UT Arlington 55–47 conf_tournament
2020-03-11 2020 Arkansas State @ South Alabama N 71–82 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 South Alabama @ Little Rock 57–42 regular
2020-03-06 2020 South Alabama @ Arkansas State 80–86 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Troy @ South Alabama 77–73 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Little Rock @ South Alabama 69–58 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Arkansas State @ South Alabama 71–87 regular
2020-02-15 2020 South Alabama @ Coastal Carolina 73–76 regular
2020-02-13 2020 South Alabama @ App State 59–71 regular
2020-02-08 2020 South Alabama @ UL Monroe 73–39 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Louisiana @ South Alabama 63–78 regular
2020-02-01 2020 South Alabama @ Troy 68–85 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Texas State @ South Alabama 76–78 regular
2020-01-24 2020 UT Arlington @ South Alabama 68–45 regular
2020-01-18 2020 South Alabama @ Georgia Southern 71–65 regular
2020-01-16 2020 South Alabama @ Georgia State 81–64 regular
2020-01-11 2020 UL Monroe @ South Alabama 63–72 regular
2020-01-10 2020 South Alabama @ Louisiana 68–73 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Coastal Carolina @ South Alabama 71–62 regular
2020-01-03 2020 App State @ South Alabama 66–81 regular
2019-12-21 2020 South Alabama @ East Tennessee State 60–65 regular
2019-12-17 2020 William Carey @ South Alabama 52–68 non_d1
2019-12-15 2020 South Alabama @ Southern Miss 55–62 regular
2019-12-07 2020 South Alabama @ Tulane 62–53 regular
2019-12-05 2020 Auburn @ South Alabama 82–62 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Tennessee State @ South Alabama 48–70 regular
2019-11-27 2020 Mobile @ South Alabama 59–103 non_d1
2019-11-22 2020 Alabama @ South Alabama 74–62 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Miami (OH) @ South Alabama 76–73 regular
2019-11-15 2020 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ South Alabama 82–83 regular
2019-11-08 2020 South Alabama @ UAB 61–77 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Rutgers @ South Alabama 77–56 regular