cbb·system

South Alabama Jaguars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.69 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.05 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.35 points per possession 0.17
PACE 77.82 possessions per game 4.16

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

South Alabama AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.40 to 0.96 over 79 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
2015524 0.172

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSouth Alabama auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-07 2015 Troy @ South Alabama 86–79 regular
2015-03-05 2015 South Alabama @ Arkansas State 60–70 regular
2015-02-26 2015 UL Monroe @ South Alabama 45–38 regular
2015-02-21 2015 South Alabama @ Georgia Southern 80–63 regular
2015-02-19 2015 South Alabama @ Georgia State 54–69 regular
2015-02-14 2015 UT Arlington @ South Alabama 63–46 regular
2015-02-12 2015 South Alabama @ Troy 67–78 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Georgia State @ South Alabama 84–78 regular
2015-02-04 2015 Texas State @ South Alabama 46–44 regular
2015-01-31 2015 South Alabama @ UL Monroe 53–55 regular
2015-01-29 2015 Louisiana @ South Alabama 47–57 regular
2015-01-22 2015 South Alabama @ App State 59–70 regular
2015-01-19 2015 Little Rock @ South Alabama 56–34 regular
2015-01-17 2015 South Alabama @ Louisiana 58–65 regular
2015-01-15 2015 South Alabama @ Texas State 42–63 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Georgia Southern @ South Alabama 67–53 regular
2015-01-08 2015 App State @ South Alabama 67–63 regular
2015-01-05 2015 South Alabama @ Little Rock 37–71 regular
2015-01-03 2015 South Alabama @ UT Arlington 49–59 regular
2014-12-30 2015 Arkansas State @ South Alabama 62–50 regular
2014-12-21 2015 South Alabama @ UAB 43–73 regular
2014-12-17 2015 South Alabama @ Tennessee Tech 66–70 regular
2014-12-14 2015 South Alabama @ Ole Miss 48–88 regular
2014-12-06 2015 South Alabama @ Nicholls 62–66 regular
2014-12-02 2015 Spring Hill @ South Alabama 42–69 non_d1
2014-11-27 2015 Indiana State @ South Alabama 74–53 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Alabama State @ South Alabama 61–64 regular
2014-11-20 2015 Mobile @ South Alabama 67–71 non_d1
2014-11-18 2015 Southern Miss @ South Alabama 64–53 regular