cbb·system

South Alabama Jaguars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.82 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.24 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.35 possessions per game 4.76

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

South Alabama AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.54 to 1.16 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025624 0.200

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSouth Alabama auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-04 2025 South Alabama @ Marshall N 59–73 conf_tournament
2025-02-28 2025 Texas State @ South Alabama 63–56 regular
2025-02-26 2025 South Alabama @ Louisiana 48–55 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Troy @ South Alabama 86–71 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Southern Miss @ South Alabama 57–66 regular
2025-02-15 2025 South Alabama @ Georgia Southern 68–95 regular
2025-02-13 2025 South Alabama @ Georgia State 69–78 regular
2025-02-08 2025 UL Monroe @ South Alabama 68–73 regular
2025-02-06 2025 James Madison @ South Alabama 76–62 regular
2025-02-01 2025 South Alabama @ Arkansas State 63–80 regular
2025-01-31 2025 South Alabama @ UL Monroe 70–78 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Arkansas State @ South Alabama 82–71 regular
2025-01-23 2025 UL Monroe @ South Alabama postponed regular
2025-01-18 2025 South Alabama @ Southern Miss 49–78 regular
2025-01-17 2025 South Alabama @ Troy 60–99 regular
2025-01-11 2025 South Alabama @ Texas State 54–65 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Louisiana @ South Alabama 76–50 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Coastal Carolina @ South Alabama 73–58 regular
2025-01-02 2025 App State @ South Alabama 82–67 regular
2024-12-29 2025 South Alabama @ Old Dominion 59–82 regular
2024-12-20 2025 South Alabama @ Bethune-Cookman N 62–67 regular
2024-12-19 2025 South Alabama @ Stetson 87–79 regular
2024-12-15 2025 South Alabama @ Ole Miss 39–94 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Faulkner @ South Alabama 44–79 non_d1
2024-12-01 2025 South Alabama @ Charleston Southern 55–60 regular
2024-11-30 2025 South Alabama @ Charleston 62–83 regular
2024-11-19 2025 South Alabama @ LSU New Orleans 67–57 regular
2024-11-15 2025 South Alabama @ North Alabama 62–71 regular
2024-11-12 2025 South Alabama @ Rice 58–76 regular
2024-11-07 2025 Louisiana Tech @ South Alabama 78–70 regular
2024-11-04 2025 Delta State @ South Alabama 56–63 non_d1