Dayton Flyers
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.01 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.88 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.13 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 66.64 | possessions per game | 5.47 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 22:00),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 0.56 to 1.24 over
102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 14 | 5 | 0.737 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Dayton | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-20 | 2021 | Dayton @ Bowling Green N | 76–77 | other_postseason |
| 2021-03-19 | 2021 | Northern Iowa @ Dayton N | 70–56 | other_postseason |
| 2021-03-13 | 2021 | VCU @ Dayton N | 56–50 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-12 | 2021 | La Salle @ Dayton N | 70–85 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-02-28 | 2021 | Dayton @ Davidson | 72–66 | regular |
| 2021-02-26 | 2021 | Dayton @ Fordham | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Saint Louis @ Dayton | 64–57 | regular |
| 2021-02-14 | 2021 | VCU @ Dayton | 62–67 | regular |
| 2021-02-12 | 2021 | Richmond @ Dayton | 54–72 | regular |
| 2021-02-07 | 2021 | Dayton @ La Salle | 95–66 | regular |
| 2021-02-05 | 2021 | Dayton @ Saint Joseph's | 55–43 | regular |
| 2021-02-02 | 2021 | Dayton @ Saint Louis | 59–52 | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | Dayton @ St. Bonaventure | 68–51 | regular |
| 2021-01-29 | 2021 | Dayton @ Duquesne | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-24 | 2021 | Rhode Island @ Dayton | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-19 | 2021 | Dayton @ Saint Louis | postponed | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Fordham @ Dayton | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-14 | 2021 | Davidson @ Dayton | 58–64 | regular |
| 2021-01-10 | 2021 | Dayton @ George Washington | 67–54 | regular |
| 2021-01-08 | 2021 | Dayton @ George Mason | 59–37 | regular |
| 2021-01-03 | 2021 | Duquesne @ Dayton | 48–64 | regular |
| 2021-01-01 | 2021 | St. Bonaventure @ Dayton | 47–56 | regular |
| 2020-12-23 | 2021 | Florida A&M @ Dayton | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-22 | 2021 | Central Michigan @ Dayton | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-20 | 2021 | Indiana State @ Dayton | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | Alabama A&M @ Dayton | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-10 | 2021 | Dayton @ Charlotte | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-06 | 2021 | Akron @ Dayton | 77–74 | regular |
| 2020-12-03 | 2021 | Dayton @ Illinois State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | Dayton @ Morehead State | 71–57 | regular |