Dayton Flyers
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Round of 64 (out) 2022
Ratings · 2022
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.00 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.79 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.21 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 66.41 | possessions per game | 4.45 |
At season 2022's latest cutoff
(2022-04-04 00:00),
with 35 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022.
Axis spans 0.50 to 1.13 over
124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2022
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 26 | 6 | 0.812 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Dayton | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-18 | 2022 | Dayton @ Georgia N | 54–70 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-17 | 2022 | DePaul @ Dayton N | 57–88 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2022-03-06 | 2022 | Massachusetts @ Dayton N | 62–56 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-05 | 2022 | VCU @ Dayton N | 48–59 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-04 | 2022 | Davidson @ Dayton N | 55–60 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-02-26 | 2022 | Rhode Island @ Dayton | 46–60 | regular |
| 2022-02-24 | 2022 | Dayton @ Saint Joseph's | 59–43 | regular |
| 2022-02-19 | 2022 | Dayton @ Fordham | 48–47 | regular |
| 2022-02-16 | 2022 | Dayton @ Rhode Island | 47–37 | regular |
| 2022-02-13 | 2022 | VCU @ Dayton | 60–58 | regular |
| 2022-02-09 | 2022 | Dayton @ Saint Louis | 69–54 | regular |
| 2022-02-05 | 2022 | George Mason @ Dayton | 44–84 | regular |
| 2022-02-03 | 2022 | Duquesne @ Dayton | 54–60 | regular |
| 2022-01-30 | 2022 | Dayton @ Davidson | 70–60 | regular |
| 2022-01-26 | 2022 | Dayton @ Richmond | 80–57 | regular |
| 2022-01-23 | 2022 | Fordham @ Dayton | 48–52 | regular |
| 2022-01-20 | 2022 | Dayton @ Massachusetts | 69–60 | regular |
| 2022-01-16 | 2022 | Saint Louis @ Dayton | 59–77 | regular |
| 2022-01-12 | 2022 | Dayton @ La Salle | 65–57 | regular |
| 2022-01-08 | 2022 | George Washington @ Dayton | postponed | regular |
| 2022-01-05 | 2022 | St. Bonaventure @ Dayton | 43–90 | regular |
| 2022-01-01 | 2022 | Dayton @ Rhode Island | postponed | regular |
| 2021-12-31 | 2022 | Wright State @ Dayton | 65–75 | regular |
| 2021-12-30 | 2022 | Howard @ Dayton | canceled | regular |
| 2021-12-21 | 2022 | Dayton @ Clemson N | 60–46 | regular |
| 2021-12-20 | 2022 | High Point @ Dayton N | 64–71 | regular |
| 2021-12-08 | 2022 | Dayton @ Florida | 57–60 | regular |
| 2021-12-05 | 2022 | Dayton @ Illinois State | 78–67 | regular |
| 2021-12-01 | 2022 | Florida A&M @ Dayton | 44–64 | regular |
| 2021-11-26 | 2022 | Illinois @ Dayton N | 53–67 | regular |
| 2021-11-25 | 2022 | Dayton @ Mississippi State N | 54–65 | regular |
| 2021-11-20 | 2022 | Dayton @ Purdue | 78–62 | regular |
| 2021-11-17 | 2022 | Toledo @ Dayton | 60–69 | regular |
| 2021-11-13 | 2022 | Duke @ Dayton | 70–56 | regular |
| 2021-11-09 | 2022 | Alabama A&M @ Dayton | 52–73 | regular |