cbb·system

Dayton Flyers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 69.22 possessions per game 4.51

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Dayton AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.68 to 1.26 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023721 0.250

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbDayton auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-02 2023 Dayton @ Richmond N 60–71 conf_tournament
2023-03-01 2023 VCU @ Dayton N 61–67 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 Dayton @ Rhode Island 57–81 regular
2023-02-23 2023 La Salle @ Dayton 51–65 regular
2023-02-15 2023 Dayton @ VCU 70–65 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Saint Joseph's @ Dayton 74–62 regular
2023-02-08 2023 Saint Louis @ Dayton 74–65 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Richmond @ Dayton canceled regular
2023-02-02 2023 Dayton @ Loyola Chicago 81–68 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Dayton @ George Washington 57–71 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Duquesne @ Dayton 87–79 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Massachusetts @ Dayton 79–60 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Dayton @ St. Bonaventure 53–54 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Dayton @ Saint Louis 69–80 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Davidson @ Dayton 60–66 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Fordham @ Dayton 82–66 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Dayton @ Duquesne 69–70 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Dayton @ George Mason 71–66 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Cedarville @ Dayton 58–94 non_d1
2022-12-11 2023 Dayton @ Toledo 45–57 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Fairfield @ Dayton 90–83 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Florida @ Dayton 69–65 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Ohio @ Dayton 52–51 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Dayton @ Kentucky N 44–70 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Ole Miss @ Dayton N 63–50 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Northern Kentucky @ Dayton 82–78 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Dayton @ Akron 69–85 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Illinois State @ Dayton 74–70 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Dayton @ Providence 60–69 regular