Dayton Flyers
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2019
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.95 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| DE | 0.89 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.05 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 70.60 | possessions per game | 4.74 |
At season 2019's latest cutoff
(2019-04-07 22:00),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019.
Axis spans -0.14 to 1.80 over
130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2019
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | 14 | 0.548 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Dayton | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-22 | 2019 | Dayton @ Northwestern | 51–74 | other_postseason |
| 2019-03-09 | 2019 | Dayton @ VCU N | 52–61 | conf_tournament |
| 2019-03-08 | 2019 | Davidson @ Dayton N | 67–84 | conf_tournament |
| 2019-03-06 | 2019 | La Salle @ Dayton | 38–65 | conf_tournament |
| 2019-03-02 | 2019 | Saint Louis @ Dayton | 57–73 | regular |
| 2019-02-28 | 2019 | Dayton @ Fordham | 48–57 | regular |
| 2019-02-24 | 2019 | Dayton @ George Mason | 51–54 | regular |
| 2019-02-21 | 2019 | Davidson @ Dayton | 69–83 | regular |
| 2019-02-17 | 2019 | George Washington @ Dayton | 53–62 | regular |
| 2019-02-14 | 2019 | Dayton @ VCU | 62–64 | regular |
| 2019-02-10 | 2019 | Dayton @ Duquesne | 57–85 | regular |
| 2019-02-07 | 2019 | Richmond @ Dayton | 50–71 | regular |
| 2019-02-03 | 2019 | Dayton @ Rhode Island | 74–62 | regular |
| 2019-01-27 | 2019 | Saint Joseph's @ Dayton | 65–72 | regular |
| 2019-01-23 | 2019 | Dayton @ Saint Louis | 65–68 | regular |
| 2019-01-20 | 2019 | Fordham @ Dayton | 50–72 | regular |
| 2019-01-16 | 2019 | Dayton @ St. Bonaventure | 62–49 | regular |
| 2019-01-12 | 2019 | Dayton @ George Washington | 45–46 | regular |
| 2019-01-10 | 2019 | Massachusetts @ Dayton | 47–75 | regular |
| 2019-01-05 | 2019 | La Salle @ Dayton | 45–84 | regular |
| 2018-12-21 | 2019 | Dayton @ Georgia Tech N | 85–66 | regular |
| 2018-12-20 | 2019 | Dayton @ Virginia Tech N | 57–69 | regular |
| 2018-12-16 | 2019 | Evansville @ Dayton | 30–69 | regular |
| 2018-12-07 | 2019 | Buffalo @ Dayton | 59–72 | regular |
| 2018-12-04 | 2019 | Dayton @ James Madison | 55–68 | regular |
| 2018-11-29 | 2019 | Dayton @ South Carolina | 55–65 | regular |
| 2018-11-24 | 2019 | Dayton @ Green Bay | 35–51 | regular |
| 2018-11-22 | 2019 | Toledo @ Dayton | 49–70 | regular |
| 2018-11-17 | 2019 | Northeastern @ Dayton | 84–79 | regular |
| 2018-11-11 | 2019 | Dayton @ Maryland | 71–82 | regular |
| 2018-11-09 | 2019 | Colgate @ Dayton | 58–67 | regular |