cbb·system

Dayton Flyers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.98 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.15 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.46 possessions per game 4.63

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Dayton AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 58.03 to 162.12 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020258 0.758

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbDayton auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-08 2020 VCU @ Dayton 48–52 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Saint Louis @ Dayton 50–58 conf_tournament
2020-03-06 2020 Richmond @ Dayton 68–79 conf_tournament
2020-03-01 2020 Dayton @ Saint Louis 78–66 regular
2020-02-27 2020 St. Bonaventure @ Dayton 51–78 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Dayton @ Fordham 38–50 regular
2020-02-20 2020 George Washington @ Dayton 44–50 regular
2020-02-16 2020 VCU @ Dayton 67–72 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Dayton @ Massachusetts 52–51 regular
2020-02-09 2020 Rhode Island @ Dayton 60–71 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Dayton @ Davidson 55–49 regular
2020-02-02 2020 Dayton @ Saint Joseph's 59–44 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Fordham @ Dayton 44–48 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Dayton @ George Washington 66–50 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Saint Louis @ Dayton 47–48 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Duquesne @ Dayton 41–54 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Dayton @ Richmond 65–51 regular
2020-01-09 2020 George Mason @ Dayton 55–59 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Dayton @ La Salle 98–58 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Coppin State @ Dayton 48–78 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Dayton @ East Carolina N 94–68 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Wake Forest @ Dayton N 78–59 regular
2019-12-18 2020 Dayton @ Buffalo 59–67 regular
2019-12-05 2020 Morehead State @ Dayton 41–58 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Maine @ Dayton N 49–78 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Dayton @ Auburn N 74–76 regular
2019-11-29 2020 Dayton @ Gonzaga N 65–76 regular
2019-11-27 2020 UConn @ Dayton 75–37 regular
2019-11-21 2020 Dayton @ Central Michigan 80–81 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Dayton @ Northeastern 71–60 regular
2019-11-14 2020 South Carolina @ Dayton 75–49 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Dayton @ Toledo 60–42 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Lipscomb @ Dayton 60–82 regular