Dayton Flyers
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.99 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.98 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.01 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 68.67 | possessions per game | 4.55 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-05 19:30),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 58.84 to 131.69 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17 | 14 | 0.548 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Dayton | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | 2026 | Dayton @ George Mason N | 85–87 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026 | George Washington @ Dayton N | 54–62 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026 | VCU @ Dayton | 62–79 | regular |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026 | Dayton @ Loyola Chicago | 67–58 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | Dayton @ Davidson | 67–79 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | Saint Louis @ Dayton | 63–65 | regular |
| 2026-02-11 | 2026 | George Mason @ Dayton | 72–61 | regular |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026 | Dayton @ Saint Joseph's | 75–73 | regular |
| 2026-02-04 | 2026 | Dayton @ La Salle | 68–60 | regular |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026 | George Washington @ Dayton | 66–54 | regular |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026 | St. Bonaventure @ Dayton | 71–75 | regular |
| 2026-01-25 | 2026 | Rhode Island @ Dayton | 79–66 | regular |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026 | Dayton @ Duquesne | 75–58 | regular |
| 2026-01-18 | 2026 | Dayton @ Saint Louis | 58–62 | regular |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026 | Richmond @ Dayton | 85–67 | regular |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026 | Dayton @ Fordham | 66–58 | regular |
| 2026-01-08 | 2026 | Loyola Chicago @ Dayton | 71–68 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | Duquesne @ Dayton | 61–68 | regular |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026 | Dayton @ George Mason | 59–74 | regular |
| 2025-12-21 | 2026 | Evansville @ Dayton | 66–75 | regular |
| 2025-12-18 | 2026 | Dayton @ Western Michigan | 65–58 | regular |
| 2025-12-14 | 2026 | Dayton @ Purdue | 43–80 | regular |
| 2025-12-07 | 2026 | Long Island University @ Dayton | 72–81 | regular |
| 2025-12-03 | 2026 | Dayton @ George Washington | 42–54 | regular |
| 2025-11-30 | 2026 | Kansas @ Dayton N | 58–59 | regular |
| 2025-11-28 | 2026 | Butler @ Dayton N | 92–66 | regular |
| 2025-11-22 | 2026 | Canisius @ Dayton | 52–61 | regular |
| 2025-11-16 | 2026 | Belmont @ Dayton | 72–66 | regular |
| 2025-11-11 | 2026 | Dayton @ Xavier | 71–66 | regular |
| 2025-11-07 | 2026 | Mercyhurst @ Dayton | 44–86 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Dayton @ Illinois State | 76–87 | regular |