cbb·system

Cincinnati Bearcats

mens American canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.14 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.20 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.26 possessions per game 4.57

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Cincinnati AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.56 to 1.25 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261815 0.545

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdCincinnati auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-11 2026 Cincinnati @ UCF N 65–66 conf_tournament
2026-03-10 2026 Utah @ Cincinnati N 66–73 conf_tournament
2026-03-07 2026 Cincinnati @ TCU 63–73 regular
2026-03-04 2026 BYU @ Cincinnati 68–90 regular
2026-02-28 2026 Oklahoma State @ Cincinnati 68–91 regular
2026-02-25 2026 Cincinnati @ Texas Tech 68–80 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Cincinnati @ Kansas 84–68 regular
2026-02-15 2026 Utah @ Cincinnati 65–69 regular
2026-02-12 2026 Cincinnati @ Kansas State 91–62 regular
2026-02-08 2026 UCF @ Cincinnati 72–92 regular
2026-02-06 2026 West Virginia @ Cincinnati 59–54 regular
2026-01-31 2026 Cincinnati @ Houston 54–76 regular
2026-01-28 2026 Baylor @ Cincinnati 57–67 regular
2026-01-25 2026 Cincinnati @ Arizona State 68–82 regular
2026-01-22 2026 Cincinnati @ Arizona 51–77 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Iowa State @ Cincinnati 70–79 regular
2026-01-15 2026 Colorado @ Cincinnati 68–77 regular
2026-01-11 2026 Cincinnati @ UCF 72–73 regular
2026-01-07 2026 Cincinnati @ West Virginia 60–62 regular
2026-01-03 2026 Houston @ Cincinnati 67–60 regular
2025-12-30 2026 Lipscomb @ Cincinnati 62–89 regular
2025-12-21 2026 Cincinnati @ Clemson 65–68 regular
2025-12-18 2026 Alabama State @ Cincinnati 51–88 regular
2025-12-13 2026 Cincinnati @ Georgia N 65–84 regular
2025-12-06 2026 Cincinnati @ Xavier 74–79 regular
2025-12-02 2026 Tarleton State @ Cincinnati 58–76 regular
2025-11-27 2026 Eastern Michigan @ Cincinnati 64–56 regular
2025-11-25 2026 NJIT @ Cincinnati 67–94 regular
2025-11-21 2026 Louisville @ Cincinnati N 74–64 regular
2025-11-16 2026 Mount St. Mary's @ Cincinnati 55–72 regular
2025-11-12 2026 Dayton @ Cincinnati 62–74 regular
2025-11-08 2026 Georgia State @ Cincinnati 64–74 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Western Carolina @ Cincinnati 63–94 regular