cbb·system

Cincinnati Bearcats

mens American canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.87 possessions per game 4.49

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Cincinnati AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.79 to 1.33 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221815 0.545

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdCincinnati auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-11 2022 Cincinnati @ Houston N 56–69 conf_tournament
2022-03-10 2022 East Carolina @ Cincinnati N 63–74 conf_tournament
2022-03-04 2022 Cincinnati @ SMU 71–76 regular
2022-03-02 2022 Cincinnati @ Houston 53–71 regular
2022-02-27 2022 South Florida @ Cincinnati 56–54 regular
2022-02-24 2022 Cincinnati @ UCF 61–75 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Temple @ Cincinnati 75–71 regular
2022-02-18 2022 Wichita State @ Cincinnati 76–85 regular
2022-02-16 2022 Memphis @ Cincinnati 81–74 regular
2022-02-13 2022 Cincinnati @ Tulsa 77–83 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Cincinnati @ South Florida 70–59 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Houston @ Cincinnati 80–58 regular
2022-02-04 2022 Memphis @ Cincinnati scheduled regular
2022-01-30 2022 Cincinnati @ East Carolina 60–59 regular
2022-01-26 2022 Cincinnati @ Temple 58–61 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Tulsa @ Cincinnati 69–90 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Cincinnati @ Wichita State 61–57 regular
2022-01-13 2022 East Carolina @ Cincinnati 71–79 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Cincinnati @ Memphis 80–87 regular
2022-01-07 2022 SMU @ Cincinnati 60–77 regular
2022-01-02 2022 Tulane @ Cincinnati 68–60 regular
2021-12-29 2022 Cincinnati @ Houston scheduled regular
2021-12-22 2022 Tennessee Tech @ Cincinnati 67–76 regular
2021-12-18 2022 Ashland @ Cincinnati 57–71 non_d1
2021-12-15 2022 Florida A&M @ Cincinnati 50–77 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Cincinnati @ Xavier 63–83 regular
2021-12-06 2022 Bryant @ Cincinnati 58–73 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Cincinnati @ Miami (OH) 59–58 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Monmouth @ Cincinnati 61–59 regular
2021-11-24 2022 Cincinnati @ Arkansas N 67–73 regular
2021-11-22 2022 Illinois @ Cincinnati N 51–71 regular
2021-11-19 2022 Presbyterian @ Cincinnati 45–79 regular
2021-11-17 2022 Alabama A&M @ Cincinnati 66–89 regular
2021-11-14 2022 Georgia @ Cincinnati 68–73 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Evansville @ Cincinnati 43–65 regular