cbb·system

Cincinnati Bearcats

mens American canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.15 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.20 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.38 possessions per game 4.50

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-09 01:20), with 37 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Cincinnati AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans 57.71 to 78.77 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20242215 0.595

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdCincinnati auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-27 2024 Cincinnati @ Indiana State 81–85 nit
2024-03-23 2024 Bradley @ Cincinnati 57–74 nit
2024-03-21 2024 San Francisco @ Cincinnati 72–73 nit
2024-03-15 2024 Cincinnati @ Baylor N 56–68 conf_tournament
2024-03-14 2024 Cincinnati @ Kansas N 72–52 conf_tournament
2024-03-12 2024 West Virginia @ Cincinnati N 85–90 conf_tournament
2024-03-09 2024 West Virginia @ Cincinnati 56–92 regular
2024-03-06 2024 Cincinnati @ Oklahoma 71–74 regular
2024-03-03 2024 Kansas State @ Cincinnati 72–74 regular
2024-02-28 2024 Cincinnati @ Houston 59–67 regular
2024-02-24 2024 Cincinnati @ TCU 57–75 regular
2024-02-22 2024 Oklahoma State @ Cincinnati 80–76 regular
2024-02-17 2024 Cincinnati @ UCF 76–74 regular
2024-02-14 2024 Iowa State @ Cincinnati 68–59 regular
2024-02-10 2024 Houston @ Cincinnati 67–62 regular
2024-02-03 2024 Cincinnati @ Texas Tech 75–72 regular
2024-02-01 2024 Cincinnati @ West Virginia 65–69 regular
2024-01-28 2024 UCF @ Cincinnati 57–68 regular
2024-01-23 2024 Cincinnati @ Kansas 69–74 regular
2024-01-20 2024 Oklahoma @ Cincinnati 69–65 regular
2024-01-17 2024 TCU @ Cincinnati 77–81 regular
2024-01-14 2024 Cincinnati @ Baylor 59–62 regular
2024-01-10 2024 Texas @ Cincinnati 74–73 regular
2024-01-07 2024 Cincinnati @ BYU 71–60 regular
2023-12-30 2024 Evansville @ Cincinnati 58–76 regular
2023-12-23 2024 Stetson @ Cincinnati 75–83 regular
2023-12-20 2024 Merrimack @ Cincinnati 49–65 regular
2023-12-17 2024 Dayton @ Cincinnati N 82–68 regular
2023-12-13 2024 Bryant @ Cincinnati 53–85 regular
2023-12-09 2024 Cincinnati @ Xavier 79–84 regular
2023-12-03 2024 Florida Gulf Coast @ Cincinnati 62–99 regular
2023-11-29 2024 Cincinnati @ Howard 86–81 regular
2023-11-23 2024 Georgia Tech @ Cincinnati 54–89 regular
2023-11-19 2024 Northern Kentucky @ Cincinnati 66–90 regular
2023-11-12 2024 Eastern Washington @ Cincinnati 73–85 regular
2023-11-11 2024 Detroit Mercy @ Cincinnati 61–93 regular
2023-11-07 2024 UIC @ Cincinnati 58–69 regular