cbb·system

Northwestern State Lady Demons

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2014

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.16
PACE 64.31 possessions per game 5.14

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northwestern State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans -0.36 to 0.39 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142113 0.618

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthwestern State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-22 2014 Northwestern State @ Tennessee N 46–70 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-16 2014 Northwestern State @ Stephen F. Austin N 62–44 conf_tournament
2014-03-15 2014 Northwestern State @ Lamar N 61–60 conf_tournament
2014-03-14 2014 Nicholls @ Northwestern State N 65–69 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Oral Roberts @ Northwestern State 49–71 regular
2014-03-06 2014 Central Arkansas @ Northwestern State 45–77 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Northwestern State @ LSU New Orleans 51–48 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Northwestern State @ SE Louisiana 73–58 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Northwestern State @ Stephen F. Austin 51–68 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Northwestern State @ Lamar 67–60 regular
2014-02-13 2014 Northwestern State @ Sam Houston 53–57 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Nicholls @ Northwestern State 60–76 regular
2014-02-06 2014 McNeese @ Northwestern State 59–57 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Abilene Christian @ Northwestern State 72–76 regular
2014-01-30 2014 Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State 66–72 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Northwestern State @ Oral Roberts 51–62 regular
2014-01-23 2014 Northwestern State @ Central Arkansas 61–73 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Stephen F. Austin @ Northwestern State 54–66 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Northwestern State @ Houston Christian 56–67 regular
2014-01-09 2014 Northwestern State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 65–59 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Lamar @ Northwestern State 84–79 regular
2014-01-02 2014 Sam Houston @ Northwestern State 59–78 regular
2013-12-29 2014 North Dakota State @ Northwestern State N 50–57 regular
2013-12-28 2014 New Mexico State @ Northwestern State N 63–73 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Northwestern State @ Texas 60–90 regular
2013-12-18 2014 Arkansas Monticello @ Northwestern State 40–63 non_d1
2013-12-12 2014 Northwestern State @ Louisiana Tech 40–74 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Northwestern State @ Arkansas 53–74 regular
2013-12-03 2014 Jackson State @ Northwestern State 52–71 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Savannah State @ Northwestern State N 56–77 regular
2013-11-23 2014 Northwestern State @ Baylor 54–88 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Northwestern State @ UTSA N 49–62 regular
2013-11-14 2014 Houston @ Northwestern State 70–74 regular
2013-11-08 2014 Southern Arkansas @ Northwestern State 53–77 non_d1