cbb·system

Evansville Purple Aces

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.76 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.24 points per possession 0.17
PACE 69.90 possessions per game 4.81

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Evansville AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.28 to 1.03 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141516 0.484

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbEvansville auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-20 2014 Evansville @ Eastern Michigan 65–78 other_postseason
2014-03-14 2014 Drake @ Evansville N 71–61 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Evansville @ Loyola Chicago 77–63 regular
2014-03-07 2014 Evansville @ Bradley 73–55 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Missouri State @ Evansville 65–72 regular
2014-02-28 2014 Wichita State @ Evansville 54–63 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Southern Illinois @ Evansville 31–67 regular
2014-02-16 2014 Evansville @ Indiana State 63–56 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Evansville @ Illinois State 75–62 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Northern Iowa @ Evansville 50–59 regular
2014-02-07 2014 Drake @ Evansville 72–57 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Evansville @ Wichita State 48–66 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Evansville @ Missouri State 70–87 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Evansville @ Southern Illinois 57–66 regular
2014-01-19 2014 Illinois State @ Evansville 78–54 regular
2014-01-17 2014 Indiana State @ Evansville 67–46 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Evansville @ Drake 71–67 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Evansville @ Northern Iowa 56–64 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Bradley @ Evansville 77–76 regular
2014-01-03 2014 Loyola Chicago @ Evansville 57–75 regular
2013-12-30 2014 Toledo @ Evansville 80–90 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Evansville @ Saint Louis 49–50 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Evansville @ Troy 86–94 regular
2013-12-04 2014 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Evansville 67–80 regular
2013-11-25 2014 Evansville @ UT Martin 77–93 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Evansville @ Austin Peay 65–50 regular
2013-11-20 2014 Ball State @ Evansville 69–80 regular
2013-11-17 2014 Evansville @ San José State 84–90 regular
2013-11-15 2014 Evansville @ Missouri 43–78 regular
2013-11-12 2014 Murray State @ Evansville 62–50 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Eastern Illinois @ Evansville 46–81 regular