cbb·system

Evansville Purple Aces

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.23 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.54 possessions per game 4.87

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Evansville AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.29 to 1.72 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
2019426 0.133

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbEvansville auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-15 2019 Evansville @ Loyola Chicago N 80–90 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Southern Illinois @ Evansville 80–60 regular
2019-03-08 2019 Missouri State @ Evansville 88–46 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Evansville @ Indiana State 59–56 regular
2019-02-24 2019 Evansville @ Northern Iowa 46–95 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Evansville @ Drake 39–66 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Loyola Chicago @ Evansville 71–51 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Valparaiso @ Evansville 65–77 regular
2019-02-10 2019 Evansville @ Bradley 63–81 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Evansville @ Illinois State 59–82 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Indiana State @ Evansville 76–69 regular
2019-01-27 2019 Drake @ Evansville 78–47 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Northern Iowa @ Evansville 74–46 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Evansville @ Valparaiso 49–93 regular
2019-01-18 2019 Evansville @ Loyola Chicago 56–61 regular
2019-01-13 2019 Illinois State @ Evansville 72–61 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Bradley @ Evansville 75–68 regular
2019-01-06 2019 Evansville @ Missouri State 66–88 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Evansville @ Southern Illinois 47–67 regular
2018-12-22 2019 Evansville @ Wisconsin 60–96 regular
2018-12-19 2019 Austin Peay @ Evansville 52–56 regular
2018-12-16 2019 Evansville @ Dayton 30–69 regular
2018-12-08 2019 Southeast Missouri State @ Evansville 54–50 regular
2018-12-06 2019 UIC @ Evansville 62–54 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Evansville @ Morehead State 63–85 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Evansville @ Marshall 65–72 regular
2018-11-21 2019 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Evansville 72–66 regular
2018-11-15 2019 SIU Edwardsville @ Evansville 54–45 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Evansville @ Chicago State 67–58 regular
2018-11-08 2019 Evansville @ Murray State 53–81 regular