cbb·system

Evansville Purple Aces

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.76 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.16 points per possession 0.17
PACE 70.63 possessions per game 4.53

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Evansville AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 61.04 to 96.58 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151319 0.406

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbEvansville auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-14 2015 Evansville @ Missouri State N 66–75 conf_tournament
2015-03-13 2015 Evansville @ Drake N 84–79 conf_tournament
2015-03-13 2015 Illinois State @ Evansville N 51–55 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Missouri State @ Evansville 86–71 regular
2015-03-06 2015 Wichita State @ Evansville 77–63 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Indiana State @ Evansville 71–53 regular
2015-02-22 2015 Evansville @ Northern Iowa 44–89 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Evansville @ Drake 69–78 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Illinois State @ Evansville 52–69 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Southern Illinois @ Evansville 62–53 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Evansville @ Bradley 50–56 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Evansville @ Loyola Chicago 58–70 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Evansville @ Indiana State 52–67 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Drake @ Evansville 79–62 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Northern Iowa @ Evansville 58–44 regular
2015-01-18 2015 Evansville @ Southern Illinois 63–58 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Evansville @ Illinois State 62–50 regular
2015-01-13 2015 Bradley @ Evansville 46–86 regular
2015-01-09 2015 Loyola Chicago @ Evansville 38–63 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Evansville @ Wichita State 44–54 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Evansville @ Missouri State 65–56 regular
2014-12-30 2015 Evansville @ Louisville 51–73 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Evansville @ IU Indianapolis 50–62 regular
2014-12-18 2015 Troy @ Evansville 85–94 regular
2014-12-09 2015 Oakland City @ Evansville 40–81 non_d1
2014-12-06 2015 Miami (OH) @ Evansville 41–51 regular
2014-12-03 2015 Evansville @ Murray State 93–83 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Evansville @ UT Martin 74–84 regular
2014-11-27 2015 Evansville @ West Virginia 39–83 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Evansville @ Purdue Fort Wayne 59–77 regular
2014-11-20 2015 Evansville @ Ball State 70–76 regular
2014-11-16 2015 Austin Peay @ Evansville 68–72 regular