cbb·system

Evansville Purple Aces

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.86 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.01 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.15 points per possession 0.18
PACE 69.44 possessions per game 4.50

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Evansville AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 60.18 to 143.72 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231119 0.367

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbEvansville auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-09 2023 Evansville @ Murray State N 46–88 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Bradley @ Evansville 61–51 regular
2023-03-03 2023 Illinois State @ Evansville 73–56 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Evansville @ Southern Illinois 59–105 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Evansville @ Missouri State 51–63 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Valparaiso @ Evansville 74–68 regular
2023-02-18 2023 UIC @ Evansville 65–68 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Evansville @ Murray State 60–80 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Evansville @ Belmont 53–93 regular
2023-02-07 2023 UT Martin @ Evansville 80–60 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Evansville @ Drake 48–87 regular
2023-02-01 2023 Evansville @ Indiana State 68–66 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Belmont @ Evansville 76–58 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Murray State @ Evansville 67–75 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Evansville @ Illinois State 46–78 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Evansville @ Bradley 73–56 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Northern Iowa @ Evansville 73–68 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Indiana State @ Evansville 54–65 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Evansville @ UIC 53–57 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Evansville @ Valparaiso 57–45 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Missouri State @ Evansville 73–61 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Southern Illinois @ Evansville 86–77 regular
2022-12-22 2023 UT Martin @ Evansville postponed regular
2022-12-18 2023 Southeast Missouri State @ Evansville 53–64 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Evansville @ Bellarmine 40–60 regular
2022-12-02 2023 Evansville @ Morehead State 75–65 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Miami (OH) @ Evansville 72–97 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Evansville @ Illinois 54–93 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Chicago State @ Evansville 57–82 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Evansville @ Iowa 62–115 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Evansville @ Eastern Kentucky 89–81 regular