cbb·system

McNeese Cowgirls

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.01 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.02 points per possession 0.16
PACE 65.68 possessions per game 5.05

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

McNeese AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.61 to 1.28 over 110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141914 0.576

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMcNeese auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-20 2014 McNeese @ Northern Kentucky 72–84 other_postseason
2014-03-15 2014 McNeese @ Stephen F. Austin N 54–80 conf_tournament
2014-03-14 2014 McNeese @ Central Arkansas N 66–62 conf_tournament
2014-03-13 2014 McNeese @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi N 78–73 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 McNeese @ Houston Christian 67–77 regular
2014-03-06 2014 McNeese @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 69–74 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Abilene Christian @ McNeese 64–71 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Incarnate Word @ McNeese 37–92 regular
2014-02-22 2014 McNeese @ Nicholls 66–76 regular
2014-02-16 2014 McNeese @ LSU New Orleans 84–54 regular
2014-02-13 2014 McNeese @ SE Louisiana 75–61 regular
2014-02-08 2014 McNeese @ Stephen F. Austin 49–69 regular
2014-02-06 2014 McNeese @ Northwestern State 59–57 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Oral Roberts @ McNeese 57–73 regular
2014-01-30 2014 Central Arkansas @ McNeese 65–50 regular
2014-01-21 2014 Nicholls @ McNeese 71–63 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Houston Christian @ McNeese 62–66 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ McNeese 51–79 regular
2014-01-11 2014 McNeese @ Lamar 58–72 regular
2014-01-09 2014 McNeese @ Sam Houston 59–55 regular
2014-01-04 2014 LSU New Orleans @ McNeese 59–82 regular
2014-01-02 2014 SE Louisiana @ McNeese 82–65 regular
2013-12-29 2014 McNeese @ Baylor 57–82 regular
2013-12-20 2014 Southern New Orleans @ McNeese 67–77 non_d1
2013-12-18 2014 Louisiana Tech @ McNeese 51–63 regular
2013-12-12 2014 UL Monroe @ McNeese 63–78 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Georgia Tech @ McNeese N 69–60 regular
2013-11-29 2014 McNeese @ LIU Brooklyn 71–57 regular
2013-11-27 2014 McNeese @ Fairleigh Dickinson 69–62 regular
2013-11-20 2014 McNeese @ Texas Southern 55–71 regular
2013-11-15 2014 Rice @ McNeese 54–65 regular
2013-11-12 2014 McNeese @ Tulane 49–74 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Wiley @ McNeese 69–88 non_d1