cbb·system

McNeese Cowgirls

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.81 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.22 points per possession 0.19
PACE 72.97 possessions per game 4.42

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

McNeese AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.44 to 1.11 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231219 0.387

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMcNeese auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-07 2023 McNeese @ Lamar N 75–80 conf_tournament
2023-03-06 2023 LSU New Orleans @ McNeese 82–87 conf_tournament
2023-03-01 2023 LSU New Orleans @ McNeese 56–68 regular
2023-02-25 2023 McNeese @ SE Louisiana 50–67 regular
2023-02-23 2023 McNeese @ Houston Christian 65–60 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ McNeese 75–62 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Incarnate Word @ McNeese 69–45 regular
2023-02-11 2023 McNeese @ LSU New Orleans 59–65 regular
2023-02-09 2023 SE Louisiana @ McNeese 72–64 regular
2023-02-04 2023 McNeese @ East Texas A&M 75–67 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Lamar @ McNeese 79–48 regular
2023-01-28 2023 McNeese @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 61–78 regular
2023-01-26 2023 McNeese @ Incarnate Word 69–34 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Nicholls @ McNeese 62–70 regular
2023-01-19 2023 McNeese @ Nicholls 77–68 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Houston Christian @ McNeese 54–69 regular
2023-01-12 2023 McNeese @ Northwestern State 61–62 regular
2023-01-07 2023 East Texas A&M @ McNeese 79–71 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Northwestern State @ McNeese 65–71 regular
2022-12-31 2023 McNeese @ Lamar 61–82 regular
2022-12-20 2023 McNeese @ Texas Tech 47–66 regular
2022-12-17 2023 McNeese @ Ole Miss 60–79 regular
2022-12-15 2023 UL Monroe @ McNeese 66–76 regular
2022-12-02 2023 North American @ McNeese 46–81 non_d1
2022-11-30 2023 Arkansas State @ McNeese 102–83 regular
2022-11-23 2023 McNeese @ Xavier 68–84 regular
2022-11-20 2023 McNeese @ Ohio State 43–99 regular
2022-11-19 2023 McNeese @ Bradley 58–77 regular
2022-11-16 2023 McNeese @ Illinois 38–100 regular
2022-11-11 2023 UT Rio Grande Valley @ McNeese 68–60 regular
2022-11-07 2023 Ecclesia @ McNeese 26–110 non_d1