cbb·system

McNeese Cowgirls

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.84 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.19 points per possession 0.18
PACE 71.40 possessions per game 4.71

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

McNeese AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 55.88 to 83.69 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181218 0.400

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMcNeese auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-08 2018 McNeese @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi N 52–75 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Lamar @ McNeese 81–72 regular
2018-03-01 2018 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ McNeese 64–70 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Houston Christian @ McNeese 67–61 regular
2018-02-22 2018 McNeese @ Nicholls 51–63 regular
2018-02-17 2018 McNeese @ LSU New Orleans 62–84 regular
2018-02-15 2018 Central Arkansas @ McNeese 51–45 regular
2018-02-10 2018 SE Louisiana @ McNeese 47–69 regular
2018-02-08 2018 McNeese @ Stephen F. Austin 58–73 regular
2018-02-03 2018 McNeese @ Northwestern State 60–44 regular
2018-02-01 2018 McNeese @ Sam Houston 66–63 regular
2018-01-27 2018 McNeese @ Lamar 58–83 regular
2018-01-20 2018 McNeese @ Houston Christian 86–74 regular
2018-01-13 2018 McNeese @ SE Louisiana 77–65 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Nicholls @ McNeese 61–54 regular
2018-01-06 2018 LSU New Orleans @ McNeese 77–64 regular
2018-01-04 2018 Abilene Christian @ McNeese 80–75 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Northwestern State @ McNeese 67–72 regular
2017-12-29 2018 McNeese @ Incarnate Word 66–57 regular
2017-12-22 2018 McNeese @ SMU 59–65 regular
2017-12-19 2018 McNeese @ Louisiana Tech 62–78 regular
2017-12-13 2018 McNeese @ Baylor 34–95 regular
2017-12-12 2018 Louisiana Christian @ McNeese 46–84 non_d1
2017-12-03 2018 McNeese @ Louisiana 86–98 regular
2017-11-30 2018 Tulane @ McNeese 70–66 regular
2017-11-26 2018 UL Monroe @ McNeese 61–65 regular
2017-11-22 2018 Grambling @ McNeese 75–60 regular
2017-11-19 2018 LSU Alexandria @ McNeese 53–73 non_d1
2017-11-15 2018 McNeese @ Texas 34–100 regular
2017-11-12 2018 Southern New Orleans @ McNeese 61–76 non_d1