cbb·system

McNeese Cowgirls

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.76 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.34 points per possession 0.19
PACE 73.15 possessions per game 4.61

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 26 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

McNeese AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans 61.95 to 86.36 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
2019722 0.241

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMcNeese auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-09 2019 McNeese @ Lamar 68–81 regular
2019-03-07 2019 McNeese @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 51–62 regular
2019-03-02 2019 McNeese @ Houston Christian 72–67 regular
2019-02-28 2019 Nicholls @ McNeese 78–55 regular
2019-02-23 2019 LSU New Orleans @ McNeese 64–60 regular
2019-02-21 2019 McNeese @ Central Arkansas 45–76 regular
2019-02-16 2019 McNeese @ SE Louisiana 75–70 regular
2019-02-14 2019 Stephen F. Austin @ McNeese 97–48 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Northwestern State @ McNeese 89–73 regular
2019-02-07 2019 Sam Houston @ McNeese 93–80 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Lamar @ McNeese 64–62 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Houston Christian @ McNeese 71–81 regular
2019-01-19 2019 SE Louisiana @ McNeese 56–62 regular
2019-01-17 2019 McNeese @ Nicholls 69–68 regular
2019-01-12 2019 McNeese @ LSU New Orleans 76–88 regular
2019-01-10 2019 McNeese @ Abilene Christian 52–109 regular
2019-01-05 2019 McNeese @ Northwestern State 63–82 regular
2019-01-03 2019 Incarnate Word @ McNeese 68–66 regular
2018-12-29 2019 Louisiana Tech @ McNeese 89–48 regular
2018-12-20 2019 Louisiana Christian @ McNeese 68–86 non_d1
2018-12-18 2019 Southern New Orleans @ McNeese 54–106 non_d1
2018-12-11 2019 McNeese @ LSU 36–86 regular
2018-12-08 2019 McNeese @ UAB 48–91 regular
2018-11-25 2019 McNeese @ Rice 65–93 regular
2018-11-21 2019 LSU Alexandria @ McNeese 68–60 non_d1
2018-11-18 2019 McNeese @ UL Monroe 60–69 regular
2018-11-16 2019 McNeese @ Texas 40–96 regular
2018-11-11 2019 Louisiana @ McNeese 70–59 regular
2018-11-09 2019 McNeese @ Grambling 51–75 regular