cbb·system

Ball State Cardinals

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.95 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.87 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.09 points per possession 0.17
PACE 66.58 possessions per game 4.70

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Ball State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.51 to 1.13 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151714 0.548

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBall State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-20 2015 Ball State @ Middle Tennessee 58–69 other_postseason
2015-03-13 2015 Eastern Michigan @ Ball State N 75–65 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Toledo @ Ball State 55–71 regular
2015-03-05 2015 Ball State @ Central Michigan 85–69 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Ball State @ Western Michigan 50–51 regular
2015-02-26 2015 Eastern Michigan @ Ball State 56–41 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Ball State @ Northern Illinois 51–50 regular
2015-02-19 2015 Central Michigan @ Ball State 64–73 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Bowling Green @ Ball State 52–77 regular
2015-02-12 2015 Ball State @ Eastern Michigan 72–62 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Ball State @ Toledo 69–61 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Northern Illinois @ Ball State 65–62 regular
2015-01-29 2015 Ball State @ Miami (OH) 72–55 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Ohio @ Ball State 60–53 regular
2015-01-22 2015 Ball State @ Akron 77–73 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Ball State @ Buffalo 43–53 regular
2015-01-15 2015 Kent State @ Ball State 47–85 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Western Michigan @ Ball State 36–54 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Miami (OH) @ Ball State 41–72 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Ball State @ Bowling Green 62–50 regular
2014-12-31 2015 Ball State @ Saint Louis 68–73 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Ball State @ Western Kentucky 59–84 regular
2014-12-19 2015 Ball State @ Pittsburgh 47–59 regular
2014-12-16 2015 Charlotte @ Ball State 66–76 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Ball State @ Butler 41–48 regular
2014-12-06 2015 Oakland @ Ball State 50–75 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Duquesne @ Ball State 82–62 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Murray State @ Ball State 59–85 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Ball State @ Louisville 56–69 regular
2014-11-20 2015 Evansville @ Ball State 70–76 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Purdue @ Ball State 66–60 regular