cbb·system

Ball State Cardinals

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.85 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.19 points per possession 0.19
PACE 74.92 possessions per game 4.58

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Ball State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 65.03 to 85.60 over 64 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
2018257 0.781

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBall State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-18 2018 Purdue @ Ball State 77–72 other_postseason
2018-03-15 2018 Middle Tennessee @ Ball State 60–69 other_postseason
2018-03-08 2018 Western Michigan @ Ball State N 65–54 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Ball State @ Eastern Michigan 88–63 regular
2018-03-01 2018 Ball State @ Central Michigan 80–88 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Toledo @ Ball State 73–78 regular
2018-02-22 2018 Western Michigan @ Ball State 58–85 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Ball State @ Northern Illinois 72–50 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Ball State @ Western Michigan 81–71 regular
2018-02-08 2018 Eastern Michigan @ Ball State 85–91 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Ball State @ Ohio 76–80 regular
2018-02-01 2018 Akron @ Ball State 65–97 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Northern Illinois @ Ball State 72–81 regular
2018-01-25 2018 Bowling Green @ Ball State 41–82 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Ball State @ Kent State 79–58 regular
2018-01-18 2018 Ball State @ Toledo 66–72 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Buffalo @ Ball State 84–80 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Ball State @ Akron 74–61 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Ball State @ Bowling Green 84–73 regular
2018-01-04 2018 Miami (OH) @ Ball State 61–86 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Central Michigan @ Ball State 69–65 regular
2017-12-22 2018 Western Kentucky @ Ball State 81–93 regular
2017-12-18 2018 Austin Peay @ Ball State 57–89 regular
2017-12-10 2018 Oakland City @ Ball State 55–126 non_d1
2017-12-08 2018 Southeast Missouri State @ Ball State 56–69 regular
2017-12-05 2018 Ball State @ Purdue 66–60 regular
2017-11-30 2018 Butler @ Ball State 75–87 regular
2017-11-22 2018 Ball State @ Tennessee State 85–65 regular
2017-11-20 2018 Ball State @ Vanderbilt 88–79 regular
2017-11-16 2018 Lipscomb @ Ball State 46–84 regular
2017-11-14 2018 Missouri State @ Ball State 58–70 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Ball State @ Cleveland State 76–64 regular