cbb·system

Ball State Cardinals

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.87 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.01 points per possession 0.19
PACE 71.37 possessions per game 4.71

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Ball State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans 60.64 to 83.24 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
2019823 0.258

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBall State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-11 2019 Ball State @ Toledo 63–67 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Eastern Michigan @ Ball State 67–57 regular
2019-03-07 2019 Ball State @ Northern Illinois 67–64 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Ball State @ Western Michigan 54–72 regular
2019-02-28 2019 Central Michigan @ Ball State 81–64 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Toledo @ Ball State 63–62 regular
2019-02-21 2019 Buffalo @ Ball State 97–58 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Ball State @ Eastern Michigan 53–56 regular
2019-02-14 2019 Ball State @ Akron 61–91 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Northern Illinois @ Ball State 93–83 regular
2019-02-07 2019 Ball State @ Central Michigan 63–81 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Ball State @ Ohio 62–94 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Western Michigan @ Ball State 65–62 regular
2019-01-24 2019 Kent State @ Ball State 44–48 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Ball State @ Miami (OH) 57–60 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Ball State @ Buffalo 65–77 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Ohio @ Ball State 90–75 regular
2019-01-09 2019 Bowling Green @ Ball State 70–77 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Ball State @ Toledo 58–65 regular
2018-12-30 2019 Urbana @ Ball State 62–99 non_d1
2018-12-21 2019 Tennessee State @ Ball State 51–90 regular
2018-12-16 2019 Ball State @ Western Kentucky 86–83 regular
2018-12-07 2019 Vanderbilt @ Ball State 60–43 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Ball State @ Butler 47–64 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Cincinnati @ Ball State 63–75 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Quinnipiac @ Ball State N 69–66 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Duke @ Ball State N 79–62 regular
2018-11-23 2019 Ball State @ Fordham N 70–78 regular
2018-11-17 2019 Ball State @ Missouri State 54–74 regular
2018-11-11 2019 Cleveland State @ Ball State 62–67 regular
2018-11-08 2019 Purdue @ Ball State 80–38 regular