cbb·system

Duke Blue Devils

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.82 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.20 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.65 possessions per game 4.46

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Duke AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.51 to 1.10 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221713 0.567

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbDuke auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-03 2022 Duke @ Miami N 55–61 conf_tournament
2022-03-02 2022 Pittsburgh @ Duke N 52–55 conf_tournament
2022-02-27 2022 Duke @ North Carolina 46–74 regular
2022-02-25 2022 Boston College @ Duke 67–51 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Duke @ Clemson 64–61 regular
2022-02-18 2022 Duke @ Virginia 54–67 regular
2022-02-13 2022 NC State @ Duke 77–62 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Florida State @ Duke 59–56 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Wake Forest @ Duke 76–81 regular
2022-02-03 2022 Duke @ Pittsburgh 54–39 regular
2022-02-02 2022 Georgia Tech @ Duke 59–46 regular
2022-01-30 2022 Duke @ Louisville 65–77 regular
2022-01-28 2022 North Carolina @ Duke 78–62 regular
2022-01-23 2022 Virginia @ Duke 48–57 regular
2022-01-18 2022 Duke @ Miami 58–49 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Duke @ NC State 60–84 regular
2022-01-13 2022 Virginia Tech @ Duke 65–54 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Duke @ Syracuse 74–65 regular
2022-01-07 2022 Georgia Tech @ Duke postponed regular
2022-01-02 2022 Notre Dame @ Duke 70–72 regular
2021-12-31 2022 Duke @ Virginia Tech 55–77 regular
2021-12-21 2022 Duke @ Charleston Southern 78–35 regular
2021-12-19 2022 Duke @ Miami postponed regular
2021-12-16 2022 South Carolina @ Duke 55–46 regular
2021-12-05 2022 Duke @ Pennsylvania 77–55 regular
2021-12-03 2022 Iowa @ Duke 64–79 regular
2021-11-28 2022 Troy @ Duke 75–91 regular
2021-11-25 2022 App State @ Duke 65–73 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Alabama @ Duke N 71–74 regular
2021-11-14 2022 UNC Wilmington @ Duke 45–87 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Duke @ Dayton 70–56 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Winthrop @ Duke 39–95 regular