Duke Blue Devils
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Sweet 16 (out) 2024
Ratings · 2024
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.09 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.71 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.38 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 66.49 | possessions per game | 4.67 |
At season 2024's latest cutoff
(2024-04-07 19:00),
with 34 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024.
Axis spans 0.77 to 1.41 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2024
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | 12 | 0.647 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Duke | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-31 | 2024 | Duke @ UConn N | 45–53 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-24 | 2024 | Duke @ Ohio State | 75–63 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-22 | 2024 | Richmond @ Duke N | 61–72 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-08 | 2024 | Duke @ NC State N | 51–54 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-07 | 2024 | Georgia Tech @ Duke N | 58–70 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-03 | 2024 | Duke @ North Carolina | 59–63 | regular |
| 2024-03-01 | 2024 | Virginia @ Duke | 54–73 | regular |
| 2024-02-25 | 2024 | NC State @ Duke | 58–69 | regular |
| 2024-02-23 | 2024 | Duke @ Syracuse | 58–45 | regular |
| 2024-02-20 | 2024 | Notre Dame @ Duke | 70–62 | regular |
| 2024-02-16 | 2024 | Duke @ Virginia Tech | 56–61 | regular |
| 2024-02-11 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Duke | 60–68 | regular |
| 2024-02-09 | 2024 | Wake Forest @ Duke | 46–69 | regular |
| 2024-02-02 | 2024 | Duke @ Pittsburgh | 69–38 | regular |
| 2024-01-28 | 2024 | Duke @ Miami | 58–64 | regular |
| 2024-01-25 | 2024 | Florida State @ Duke | 46–88 | regular |
| 2024-01-21 | 2024 | Duke @ NC State | 57–72 | regular |
| 2024-01-19 | 2024 | Virginia Tech @ Duke | 46–63 | regular |
| 2024-01-14 | 2024 | Georgia Tech @ Duke | 46–84 | regular |
| 2024-01-07 | 2024 | Duke @ Virginia | 60–56 | regular |
| 2024-01-05 | 2024 | Duke @ Louisville | 44–61 | regular |
| 2023-12-31 | 2024 | Boston College @ Duke | 75–80 | regular |
| 2023-12-29 | 2024 | Coppin State @ Duke | 34–68 | regular |
| 2023-12-21 | 2024 | Toledo @ Duke | 45–70 | regular |
| 2023-12-10 | 2024 | Florida Gulf Coast @ Duke | 63–82 | regular |
| 2023-12-08 | 2024 | Duke @ Clemson | 64–80 | regular |
| 2023-12-03 | 2024 | South Carolina @ Duke | 77–61 | regular |
| 2023-11-30 | 2024 | Duke @ Georgia | 72–65 | regular |
| 2023-11-26 | 2024 | North Carolina Central @ Duke | 45–93 | regular |
| 2023-11-19 | 2024 | Duke @ Stanford | 79–82 | regular |
| 2023-11-17 | 2024 | Davidson @ Duke | 69–62 | regular |
| 2023-11-14 | 2024 | Duke @ Columbia | 66–62 | regular |
| 2023-11-10 | 2024 | Coastal Carolina @ Duke | 42–88 | regular |
| 2023-11-06 | 2024 | Richmond @ Duke | 53–83 | regular |