cbb·system

Duke Blue Devils

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2014

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.20 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.74 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.45 points per possession 0.17
PACE 69.39 possessions per game 4.88

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Duke AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 58.11 to 84.29 over 76 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
2014287 0.800

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbDuke auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-24 2014 DePaul @ Duke N 74–65 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-22 2014 Winthrop @ Duke N 45–87 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-09 2014 Duke @ Notre Dame N 53–69 conf_tournament
2014-03-09 2014 North Carolina @ Duke N 61–66 conf_tournament
2014-03-07 2014 Georgia Tech @ Duke N 52–82 conf_tournament
2014-03-02 2014 Duke @ North Carolina 60–64 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Wake Forest @ Duke 56–71 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Duke @ Notre Dame 70–81 regular
2014-02-20 2014 NC State @ Duke 70–83 regular
2014-02-18 2014 Maryland @ Duke 63–84 regular
2014-02-11 2014 North Carolina @ Duke 89–78 regular
2014-02-07 2014 Duke @ Clemson 78–51 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Notre Dame @ Duke 88–67 regular
2014-01-31 2014 Duke @ Miami 76–75 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Pittsburgh @ Duke 67–111 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Duke @ Florida State 85–77 regular
2014-01-19 2014 Duke @ Virginia Tech 74–70 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Virginia @ Duke 55–90 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Boston College @ Duke 57–78 regular
2014-01-10 2014 Duke @ Syracuse 86–53 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Duke @ Georgia Tech 64–47 regular
2014-01-02 2014 Old Dominion @ Duke 63–87 regular
2013-12-22 2014 Duke @ Kentucky 69–61 regular
2013-12-19 2014 UAlbany @ Duke 51–80 regular
2013-12-18 2014 UConn @ Duke 83–61 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Duke @ Oklahoma 94–85 regular
2013-12-05 2014 Purdue @ Duke 78–99 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Duke @ Kansas N 73–40 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Duke @ Central Michigan N 97–64 regular
2013-11-28 2014 Xavier @ Duke N 54–81 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Duke @ Marquette 78–61 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Vanderbilt @ Duke 69–88 regular
2013-11-17 2014 Alabama @ Duke 57–92 regular
2013-11-14 2014 South Carolina Upstate @ Duke 40–123 regular
2013-11-10 2014 Duke @ California 70–58 regular