cbb·system

Duke Blue Devils

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Sweet 16 (out) 2015

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.76 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.29 points per possession 0.18
PACE 69.61 possessions per game 4.51

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Duke AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 60.19 to 79.53 over 49 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20152311 0.676

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbDuke auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-28 2015 Duke @ Maryland N 55–65 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-22 2015 Mississippi State @ Duke N 56–64 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-20 2015 UAlbany @ Duke N 52–54 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Duke @ Notre Dame N 49–55 conf_tournament
2015-03-06 2015 Wake Forest @ Duke N 68–77 conf_tournament
2015-03-01 2015 North Carolina @ Duke 80–81 regular
2015-02-27 2015 Duke @ Georgia Tech 62–71 regular
2015-02-22 2015 Duke @ NC State 59–72 regular
2015-02-17 2015 Duke @ Notre Dame 50–63 regular
2015-02-13 2015 Duke @ Virginia 71–45 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Clemson @ Duke 60–89 regular
2015-02-06 2015 Duke @ Wake Forest 70–53 regular
2015-02-03 2015 Louisville @ Duke 58–66 regular
2015-01-29 2015 Pittsburgh @ Duke 45–62 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Duke @ North Carolina 74–67 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Duke @ Boston College 56–60 regular
2015-01-18 2015 Miami @ Duke 53–68 regular
2015-01-15 2015 Virginia Tech @ Duke 40–65 regular
2015-01-11 2015 Duke @ Florida State 58–74 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Syracuse @ Duke 72–74 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Wake Forest @ Duke 63–70 regular
2015-01-02 2015 North Carolina A&T @ Duke 36–87 regular
2014-12-30 2015 Duke @ UConn 52–83 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Kentucky @ Duke 68–89 regular
2014-12-19 2015 UMass Lowell @ Duke 48–95 regular
2014-12-17 2015 Oklahoma @ Duke 72–92 regular
2014-12-07 2015 South Carolina @ Duke 51–50 regular
2014-12-04 2015 Duke @ Nebraska 54–60 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Duke @ Texas A&M 59–63 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Stony Brook @ Duke 42–72 regular
2014-11-25 2015 Buffalo @ Duke 54–88 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Marquette @ Duke 51–83 regular
2014-11-21 2015 Duke @ Old Dominion 82–66 regular
2014-11-17 2015 Duke @ Alabama 90–40 regular