cbb·system

Duke Blue Devils

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.84 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.18 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.57 possessions per game 4.95

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Duke AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans 57.68 to 79.86 over 74 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191515 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbDuke auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-08 2019 Duke @ Florida State N 41–51 conf_tournament
2019-03-06 2019 Pittsburgh @ Duke N 64–86 conf_tournament
2019-03-03 2019 North Carolina @ Duke 44–62 regular
2019-03-01 2019 Clemson @ Duke 59–63 regular
2019-02-24 2019 Duke @ Wake Forest 55–44 regular
2019-02-22 2019 Duke @ Notre Dame 61–89 regular
2019-02-15 2019 Virginia Tech @ Duke 64–57 regular
2019-02-10 2019 Duke @ Virginia 47–53 regular
2019-02-08 2019 Duke @ North Carolina 85–69 regular
2019-02-03 2019 Pittsburgh @ Duke 55–74 regular
2019-02-01 2019 Duke @ Boston College 90–92 regular
2019-01-27 2019 Syracuse @ Duke 64–55 regular
2019-01-25 2019 Wake Forest @ Duke 52–66 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Duke @ Florida State 62–66 regular
2019-01-18 2019 Miami @ Duke 58–50 regular
2019-01-11 2019 Duke @ Georgia Tech 64–70 regular
2019-01-06 2019 Louisville @ Duke 73–51 regular
2019-01-04 2019 Duke @ NC State 51–63 regular
2018-12-30 2019 Florida Gulf Coast @ Duke 41–57 regular
2018-12-29 2019 East Carolina @ Duke 66–83 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Duke @ Oregon State 57–71 regular
2018-12-09 2019 South Carolina @ Duke canceled regular
2018-12-07 2019 UNLV @ Duke 38–66 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Marist @ Duke 56–64 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Duke @ Wisconsin 60–53 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Missouri @ Duke N 62–54 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Duke @ Ball State N 79–62 regular
2018-11-23 2019 Washington @ Duke N 71–64 regular
2018-11-18 2019 Elon @ Duke 64–81 regular
2018-11-16 2019 Duke @ Maine 66–63 regular
2018-11-11 2019 Duke @ Northwestern 58–84 regular