cbb·system

Providence Friars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.89 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.86 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.12 possessions per game 4.62

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Providence AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.53 to 1.18 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201319 0.406

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbProvidence auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-07 2020 Providence @ DePaul N 59–97 conf_tournament
2020-03-06 2020 Georgetown @ Providence N 46–49 conf_tournament
2020-03-01 2020 Villanova @ Providence 74–63 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Georgetown @ Providence 55–62 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Providence @ Butler 42–51 regular
2020-02-21 2020 Providence @ Xavier 42–61 regular
2020-02-16 2020 St. John's @ Providence 53–54 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Seton Hall @ Providence 71–45 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Creighton @ Providence 77–68 regular
2020-02-02 2020 Providence @ DePaul 71–93 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Providence @ Marquette 55–85 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Xavier @ Providence 48–60 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Butler @ Providence 50–47 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Providence @ Seton Hall 55–97 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Providence @ St. John's 58–64 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Providence @ Creighton 63–72 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Marquette @ Providence 60–50 regular
2020-01-03 2020 DePaul @ Providence 80–67 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Providence @ Georgetown 53–62 regular
2019-12-29 2020 Providence @ Villanova 49–51 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Providence @ Loyola Marymount N 48–45 regular
2019-12-19 2020 Ball State @ Providence N 52–51 regular
2019-12-19 2020 Providence @ New Mexico 68–86 regular
2019-12-17 2020 Providence @ Utah 67–60 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Rhode Island @ Providence N 51–58 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Providence @ Bryant 76–32 regular
2019-12-03 2020 Providence @ Yale 79–82 regular
2019-11-24 2020 UMass Lowell @ Providence 38–63 regular
2019-11-21 2020 Providence @ Monmouth 68–52 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Boston College @ Providence 60–76 regular
2019-11-14 2020 Providence @ Hartford 75–57 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Providence @ Massachusetts 72–63 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Providence @ Yale postponed regular