cbb·system

Providence Friars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.90 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.59 possessions per game 4.62

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-05 19:30), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Providence AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.59 to 1.17 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261518 0.455

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbProvidence auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-08 2026 Providence @ Villanova N 65–73 conf_tournament
2026-03-06 2026 DePaul @ Providence N 55–69 conf_tournament
2026-03-01 2026 Marquette @ Providence 69–65 regular
2026-02-27 2026 Providence @ Creighton 49–69 regular
2026-02-22 2026 Providence @ UConn 38–81 regular
2026-02-19 2026 DePaul @ Providence 60–66 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Providence @ Georgetown 59–54 regular
2026-02-12 2026 Butler @ Providence 64–73 regular
2026-02-08 2026 Xavier @ Providence 50–66 regular
2026-02-05 2026 Providence @ Marquette 61–78 regular
2026-01-31 2026 St. John's @ Providence 62–57 regular
2026-01-28 2026 Providence @ Villanova 68–83 regular
2026-01-21 2026 Providence @ Seton Hall 57–73 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Creighton @ Providence 77–80 regular
2026-01-15 2026 Providence @ Butler 52–62 regular
2026-01-11 2026 Villanova @ Providence 85–55 regular
2026-01-09 2026 Seton Hall @ Providence 58–48 regular
2026-01-04 2026 Providence @ DePaul 69–59 regular
2025-12-31 2026 UConn @ Providence 90–53 regular
2025-12-28 2026 Providence @ South Carolina 55–96 regular
2025-12-21 2026 Georgetown @ Providence 61–68 regular
2025-12-13 2026 Stonehill @ Providence 51–63 regular
2025-12-11 2026 Rhode Island @ Providence 57–51 regular
2025-12-07 2026 Providence @ St. John's 55–62 regular
2025-12-04 2026 Providence @ Xavier 47–61 regular
2025-11-30 2026 Bryant @ Providence 53–62 regular
2025-11-25 2026 Providence @ Alcorn State 64–33 regular
2025-11-24 2026 Middle Tennessee @ Providence N 54–48 regular
2025-11-22 2026 Yale @ Providence 64–75 regular
2025-11-18 2026 Northeastern @ Providence 45–50 regular
2025-11-15 2026 Boston College @ Providence 61–70 regular
2025-11-11 2026 Central Connecticut @ Providence 40–65 regular
2025-11-05 2026 Howard @ Providence 68–56 regular