cbb·system

Providence Friars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.00 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.28 possessions per game 4.37

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Providence AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.59 to 1.16 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221119 0.367

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbProvidence auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-04 2022 Georgetown @ Providence N 68–55 conf_tournament
2022-02-27 2022 Providence @ UConn 31–88 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Marquette @ Providence 57–51 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Providence @ St. John's 62–68 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Providence @ Seton Hall 52–62 regular
2022-02-17 2022 Providence @ Butler 69–41 regular
2022-02-13 2022 Xavier @ Providence 62–60 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Butler @ Providence 53–64 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Providence @ DePaul 67–88 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Providence @ Marquette 59–61 regular
2022-01-31 2022 UConn @ Providence 69–61 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Providence @ Creighton 71–95 regular
2022-01-23 2022 Providence @ Georgetown 66–58 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Providence @ Villanova 56–71 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Seton Hall @ Providence 62–42 regular
2022-01-14 2022 St. John's @ Providence 49–56 regular
2022-01-12 2022 Providence @ Xavier 54–49 regular
2022-01-08 2022 DePaul @ Providence 98–77 regular
2022-01-02 2022 Providence @ Butler postponed regular
2021-12-31 2022 Providence @ Xavier postponed regular
2021-12-19 2022 Creighton @ Providence 71–56 regular
2021-12-11 2022 Quinnipiac @ Providence 50–68 regular
2021-12-08 2022 Providence @ Brown 59–43 regular
2021-12-05 2022 Georgetown @ Providence 55–47 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Villanova @ Providence 47–66 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Hartford @ Providence 62–73 regular
2021-11-28 2022 Monmouth @ Providence 34–64 regular
2021-11-23 2022 Massachusetts @ Providence 80–62 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Boston College @ Providence 85–73 regular
2021-11-18 2022 Rhode Island @ Providence 66–53 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Providence @ Maine 66–61 regular
2021-11-09 2022 Yale @ Providence 63–57 regular