cbb·system

Providence Friars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.01 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.02 points per possession 0.16
PACE 75.37 possessions per game 4.56

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Providence AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 63.74 to 166.96 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
2014723 0.233

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbProvidence auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-08 2014 Providence @ Seton Hall N 79–88 conf_tournament
2014-03-04 2014 St. John's @ Providence 63–42 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Providence @ Georgetown 65–71 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Xavier @ Providence 59–61 regular
2014-02-19 2014 Providence @ Seton Hall 72–82 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Providence @ Creighton 64–85 regular
2014-02-12 2014 Marquette @ Providence 71–62 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Providence @ St. John's 65–85 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Villanova @ Providence 72–66 regular
2014-02-01 2014 DePaul @ Providence 74–63 regular
2014-01-29 2014 Providence @ Butler 69–72 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Seton Hall @ Providence 90–87 regular
2014-01-22 2014 Providence @ Marquette 79–87 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Providence @ Xavier 52–75 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Georgetown @ Providence 61–70 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Creighton @ Providence 97–65 regular
2014-01-09 2014 Providence @ DePaul 71–91 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Providence @ Villanova 59–68 regular
2014-01-01 2014 Butler @ Providence 68–65 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Boston College @ Providence 80–71 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Providence @ Rhode Island 54–51 regular
2013-12-18 2014 Dayton @ Providence 83–65 regular
2013-12-06 2014 Providence @ Duquesne 78–83 regular
2013-11-28 2014 UAlbany @ Providence 70–60 regular
2013-11-23 2014 Providence @ Arizona State 65–86 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Hartford @ Providence 53–79 regular
2013-11-19 2014 Providence @ Dartmouth 82–72 regular
2013-11-16 2014 Providence @ Drexel 52–62 regular
2013-11-13 2014 Bryant @ Providence 67–104 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Providence @ UMass Lowell 109–74 regular