cbb·system

Providence Friars

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.84 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.19 points per possession 0.16
PACE 73.02 possessions per game 4.31

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Providence AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 62.29 to 87.14 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
2015624 0.200

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbProvidence auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-07 2015 Providence @ Marquette N 75–78 conf_tournament
2015-03-01 2015 Georgetown @ Providence 66–81 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Providence @ Villanova 62–71 regular
2015-02-22 2015 DePaul @ Providence 103–66 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Marquette @ Providence 72–64 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Providence @ Creighton 57–84 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Providence @ St. John's 49–70 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Providence @ Seton Hall 40–67 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Xavier @ Providence 68–57 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Butler @ Providence 67–59 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Providence @ DePaul 42–90 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Providence @ Marquette 66–58 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Creighton @ Providence 65–54 regular
2015-01-11 2015 Seton Hall @ Providence 68–67 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Providence @ Georgetown 61–69 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Providence @ Xavier 59–71 regular
2015-01-02 2015 Providence @ Butler 61–66 regular
2014-12-30 2015 St. John's @ Providence 68–52 regular
2014-12-28 2015 Providence @ Boston College 51–79 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Duquesne @ Providence 56–67 regular
2014-12-12 2015 Providence @ Florida Gulf Coast 58–68 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Rhode Island @ Providence 63–56 regular
2014-12-06 2015 UMass Lowell @ Providence 54–66 regular
2014-12-03 2015 Villanova @ Providence 49–51 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Providence @ Bryant 80–90 regular
2014-11-27 2015 Providence @ Dayton 56–72 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Virginia Tech @ Providence 72–69 regular
2014-11-21 2015 Providence @ Hartford 54–57 regular
2014-11-19 2015 Brown @ Providence 69–78 regular
2014-11-14 2015 Providence @ Richmond 59–75 regular