cbb·system

North Dakota Fighting Hawks

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.85 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.85 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.00 points per possession 0.18
PACE 71.86 possessions per game 4.44

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

North Dakota AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.55 to 1.15 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151715 0.531

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorth Dakota auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-19 2015 North Dakota @ New Mexico 51–54 other_postseason
2015-03-11 2015 North Dakota @ Northern Colorado N 64–72 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Northern Colorado @ North Dakota 67–56 regular
2015-03-01 2015 North Dakota @ Southern Utah 66–73 regular
2015-02-27 2015 North Dakota @ Northern Arizona 68–72 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Sacramento State @ North Dakota 64–62 regular
2015-02-20 2015 Portland State @ North Dakota 45–76 regular
2015-02-14 2015 North Dakota @ Montana State 62–80 regular
2015-02-13 2015 North Dakota @ Montana 51–66 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Northern Arizona @ North Dakota 62–78 regular
2015-02-06 2015 Southern Utah @ North Dakota 52–67 regular
2015-01-31 2015 North Dakota @ Idaho State 69–75 regular
2015-01-30 2015 North Dakota @ Weber State 57–54 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Eastern Washington @ North Dakota 82–96 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Idaho @ North Dakota 62–68 regular
2015-01-17 2015 North Dakota @ Northern Colorado 68–58 regular
2015-01-10 2015 North Dakota @ Portland State 70–73 regular
2015-01-09 2015 North Dakota @ Sacramento State 86–93 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Montana @ North Dakota 52–59 regular
2015-01-02 2015 Montana State @ North Dakota 74–82 regular
2014-12-21 2015 North Dakota @ South Dakota 81–86 regular
2014-12-17 2015 Mayville State @ North Dakota 54–98 non_d1
2014-12-14 2015 North Dakota @ Clemson 67–72 regular
2014-12-11 2015 Minnesota @ North Dakota 68–55 regular
2014-12-07 2015 North Dakota @ North Dakota State 90–87 regular
2014-12-03 2015 Dickinson State @ North Dakota 40–88 non_d1
2014-11-29 2015 North Dakota @ Western Illinois 85–77 regular
2014-11-26 2015 North Dakota @ Omaha 72–52 regular
2014-11-22 2015 North Dakota @ Towson 54–52 regular
2014-11-21 2015 St. Francis Brooklyn @ North Dakota N 63–70 regular
2014-11-19 2015 Milwaukee @ North Dakota 76–83 regular
2014-11-16 2015 North Dakota @ Colorado 59–68 regular