cbb·system

North Dakota Fighting Hawks

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.87 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.08 points per possession 0.19
PACE 71.19 possessions per game 4.72

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

North Dakota AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.27 to 1.75 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191219 0.387

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorth Dakota auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-11 2019 North Dakota @ South Dakota N 61–84 conf_tournament
2019-03-10 2019 North Dakota @ Denver N 80–67 conf_tournament
2019-03-02 2019 North Dakota @ South Dakota 54–87 regular
2019-02-28 2019 North Dakota @ Purdue Fort Wayne 74–58 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Denver @ North Dakota 92–91 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Oral Roberts @ North Dakota 80–58 regular
2019-02-09 2019 North Dakota @ South Dakota State 58–81 regular
2019-02-08 2019 North Dakota State @ North Dakota 58–70 regular
2019-02-03 2019 North Dakota @ Omaha 69–68 regular
2019-02-02 2019 North Dakota @ Western Illinois 90–111 regular
2019-01-25 2019 South Dakota @ North Dakota 80–50 regular
2019-01-20 2019 North Dakota @ North Dakota State 57–69 regular
2019-01-19 2019 South Dakota State @ North Dakota 66–48 regular
2019-01-13 2019 Western Illinois @ North Dakota 92–80 regular
2019-01-10 2019 Omaha @ North Dakota 57–68 regular
2019-01-06 2019 North Dakota @ Denver 66–87 regular
2019-01-03 2019 North Dakota @ Oral Roberts 75–67 regular
2018-12-30 2019 Purdue Fort Wayne @ North Dakota 60–79 regular
2018-12-21 2019 North Dakota @ San Francisco N 100–97 regular
2018-12-20 2019 North Dakota @ Western Michigan N 62–50 regular
2018-12-19 2019 North Dakota @ Stetson 63–74 regular
2018-12-13 2019 Mayville State @ North Dakota 50–84 non_d1
2018-12-09 2019 North Dakota @ Iowa State 35–87 regular
2018-12-07 2019 Milwaukee @ North Dakota 64–46 regular
2018-12-05 2019 North Dakota @ Northern Iowa 60–64 regular
2018-11-28 2019 North Dakota @ Massachusetts 59–52 regular
2018-11-28 2019 North Dakota @ Rhode Island 63–77 regular
2018-11-21 2019 North Dakota @ Penn State 68–75 regular
2018-11-15 2019 North Dakota @ Illinois State 55–67 regular
2018-11-11 2019 North Dakota @ Valparaiso 62–56 regular
2018-11-06 2019 North Dakota @ Syracuse 49–85 regular