cbb·system

North Dakota Fighting Hawks

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.03 points per possession 0.18
PACE 73.33 possessions per game 4.32

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

North Dakota AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.70 to 1.25 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231913 0.594

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorth Dakota auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-19 2023 North Dakota @ Florida International N 73–76 other_postseason
2023-03-18 2023 Northern Illinois @ North Dakota N 99–102 other_postseason
2023-03-17 2023 North Dakota @ California Baptist N 79–96 other_postseason
2023-03-05 2023 Omaha @ North Dakota N 84–81 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 North Dakota @ St. Thomas 68–74 regular
2023-02-24 2023 North Dakota @ Western Illinois 86–70 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Kansas City @ North Dakota 39–61 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Oral Roberts @ North Dakota 100–108 regular
2023-02-11 2023 North Dakota @ Omaha 79–61 regular
2023-02-10 2023 North Dakota @ Denver 82–67 regular
2023-02-04 2023 South Dakota @ North Dakota 66–83 regular
2023-02-03 2023 South Dakota State @ North Dakota 75–57 regular
2023-01-28 2023 North Dakota State @ North Dakota 73–82 regular
2023-01-21 2023 North Dakota @ Oral Roberts 91–96 regular
2023-01-20 2023 North Dakota @ Kansas City 67–78 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Denver @ North Dakota 57–68 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Omaha @ North Dakota 63–65 regular
2023-01-07 2023 North Dakota @ South Dakota State 72–105 regular
2023-01-06 2023 North Dakota @ South Dakota 67–79 regular
2022-12-31 2023 North Dakota @ North Dakota State 76–81 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Western Illinois @ North Dakota 53–69 regular
2022-12-20 2023 St. Thomas @ North Dakota 56–70 regular
2022-12-13 2023 Mayville State @ North Dakota 66–87 non_d1
2022-12-10 2023 Weber State @ North Dakota 54–76 regular
2022-12-04 2023 North Dakota @ Eastern Michigan 79–73 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Wisconsin Superior @ North Dakota 30–77 non_d1
2022-11-26 2023 North Dakota @ Manhattan N 65–59 regular
2022-11-25 2023 North Dakota @ Grand Canyon 60–73 regular
2022-11-20 2023 North Dakota @ Montana 77–82 regular
2022-11-19 2023 North Dakota @ Montana State 66–77 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Wyoming @ North Dakota 55–67 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Detroit Mercy @ North Dakota 61–70 regular