cbb·system

North Dakota Fighting Hawks

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2014

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.82 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.14 points per possession 0.17
PACE 68.43 possessions per game 4.95

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

North Dakota AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.58 to 1.24 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142210 0.688

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorth Dakota auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-24 2014 North Dakota @ Texas A&M N 55–70 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-15 2014 Montana @ North Dakota N 55–72 conf_tournament
2014-03-14 2014 Idaho State @ North Dakota N 53–78 conf_tournament
2014-03-07 2014 North Dakota @ Southern Utah 53–73 regular
2014-03-01 2014 North Dakota @ Eastern Washington 61–57 regular
2014-02-28 2014 North Dakota @ Portland State 73–52 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Sacramento State @ North Dakota 57–87 regular
2014-02-21 2014 Northern Arizona @ North Dakota 41–71 regular
2014-02-15 2014 North Dakota @ Montana 49–52 regular
2014-02-14 2014 North Dakota @ Montana State 67–78 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Idaho State @ North Dakota 59–64 regular
2014-02-07 2014 Weber State @ North Dakota 55–68 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Portland State @ North Dakota 44–69 regular
2014-01-31 2014 Eastern Washington @ North Dakota 60–82 regular
2014-01-26 2014 North Dakota @ Northern Arizona 91–83 regular
2014-01-24 2014 North Dakota @ Sacramento State 104–110 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Montana State @ North Dakota 76–65 regular
2014-01-17 2014 Montana @ North Dakota 57–62 regular
2014-01-11 2014 North Dakota @ Weber State 83–72 regular
2014-01-10 2014 North Dakota @ Idaho State 48–47 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Northern Colorado @ North Dakota 51–63 regular
2014-01-03 2014 Southern Utah @ North Dakota 68–71 regular
2013-12-28 2014 North Dakota @ Iowa 62–88 regular
2013-12-21 2014 North Dakota @ Northern Colorado 68–65 regular
2013-12-19 2014 Mayville State @ North Dakota 62–71 non_d1
2013-12-14 2014 North Dakota State @ North Dakota 83–88 regular
2013-12-08 2014 North Dakota @ Minnesota 44–46 regular
2013-12-04 2014 North Dakota @ Milwaukee 78–66 regular
2013-11-27 2014 Jamestown @ North Dakota 56–93 non_d1
2013-11-17 2014 South Dakota @ North Dakota 61–65 regular
2013-11-13 2014 North Dakota @ Northern Iowa 56–61 regular
2013-11-10 2014 North Dakota @ Iowa State 55–84 regular