cbb·system

Minnesota Golden Gophers

mens Big Ten canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.26 possessions per game 4.57

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Minnesota AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.75 to 1.34 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221317 0.433

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMinnesota auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-10 2022 Minnesota @ Penn State N 51–60 conf_tournament
2022-03-07 2022 Minnesota @ Northwestern 62–75 regular
2022-03-03 2022 Minnesota @ Maryland 73–84 regular
2022-02-27 2022 Indiana @ Minnesota 84–79 regular
2022-02-24 2022 Wisconsin @ Minnesota 68–67 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Northwestern @ Minnesota 60–77 regular
2022-02-17 2022 Minnesota @ Penn State 46–67 regular
2022-02-16 2022 Minnesota @ Ohio State 45–70 regular
2022-02-13 2022 Penn State @ Minnesota 70–76 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Minnesota @ Nebraska 65–78 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Minnesota @ Iowa 59–71 regular
2022-02-03 2022 Purdue @ Minnesota 88–73 regular
2022-01-30 2022 Minnesota @ Wisconsin 60–66 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Ohio State @ Minnesota 75–64 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Rutgers @ Minnesota 65–68 regular
2022-01-19 2022 Minnesota @ Penn State scheduled regular
2022-01-16 2022 Iowa @ Minnesota 81–71 regular
2022-01-13 2022 Minnesota @ Michigan State 69–71 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Minnesota @ Indiana 60–73 regular
2022-01-05 2022 Illinois @ Minnesota 76–53 regular
2021-12-30 2022 Alcorn State @ Minnesota canceled regular
2021-12-22 2022 Green Bay @ Minnesota 56–72 regular
2021-12-15 2022 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Minnesota 71–79 regular
2021-12-11 2022 Minnesota @ Michigan 75–65 regular
2021-12-09 2022 Michigan State @ Minnesota 75–67 regular
2021-12-05 2022 Minnesota @ Mississippi State 81–76 regular
2021-12-01 2022 Minnesota @ Pittsburgh 54–53 regular
2021-11-25 2022 Jacksonville @ Minnesota 44–55 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Minnesota 49–78 regular
2021-11-15 2022 Minnesota @ Princeton N 87–80 regular
2021-11-12 2022 Western Kentucky @ Minnesota N 69–73 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Kansas City @ Minnesota 56–71 regular