Merrimack Warriors
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.82 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.05 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.23 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 69.31 | possessions per game | 5.05 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 22:00),
with 24 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 59.14 to 88.40 over
64 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 5 | 10 | 0.333 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Merrimack | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Sacred Heart | 64–57 | regular |
| 2021-03-05 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Sacred Heart | 70–61 | regular |
| 2021-03-01 | 2021 | Merrimack @ St. Francis Brooklyn | canceled | regular |
| 2021-03-01 | 2021 | Merrimack @ St. Francis Brooklyn | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-25 | 2021 | Mount St. Mary's @ Merrimack | 59–58 | regular |
| 2021-02-24 | 2021 | Mount St. Mary's @ Merrimack | 79–65 | regular |
| 2021-02-17 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Bryant | 80–83 | regular |
| 2021-02-14 | 2021 | Central Connecticut @ Merrimack | 73–67 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Central Connecticut @ Merrimack | 62–81 | regular |
| 2021-02-10 | 2021 | Long Island University @ Merrimack | 76–83 | regular |
| 2021-02-10 | 2021 | Long Island University @ Merrimack | 66–69 | regular |
| 2021-02-05 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Saint Francis | 48–61 | regular |
| 2021-02-04 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Saint Francis | 62–70 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Wagner @ Merrimack | 74–68 | regular |
| 2021-01-29 | 2021 | Wagner @ Merrimack | 56–43 | regular |
| 2021-01-29 | 2021 | Wagner @ Merrimack | postponed | regular |
| 2021-01-24 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Fairleigh Dickinson | 64–73 | regular |
| 2021-01-24 | 2021 | Merrimack @ Fairleigh Dickinson | 48–60 | regular |
| 2021-01-20 | 2021 | Long Island University @ Merrimack | postponed | regular |
| 2021-01-19 | 2021 | Long Island University @ Merrimack | postponed | regular |
| 2020-12-16 | 2021 | Bryant @ Merrimack | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-09 | 2021 | Long Island University @ Merrimack | postponed | regular |
| 2020-12-09 | 2021 | Long Island University @ Merrimack | postponed | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | Merrimack @ UMass Lowell | canceled | regular |